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Lincoln W vs Northampton W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2021/2022
Sun, Dec 12, 2021
4 - 2
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Wilcock L.
40' Event
Brewin A.
74' Event
Dicks A.

AI Match Summary

Lincoln W in this Women’s FA Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 4-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Lincoln W
15%
Draws
28%
Northampton W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lincoln W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lincoln W lately — more wins on the board than Northampton W.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Lincoln W taking it.
  • Lincoln W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lincoln W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Lincoln W Clean Sheet 10%
Northampton W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lincoln W Northampton W
Matches Played 11 9
Wins 5 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.73 2
Goals Conceded 2.91 3.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2021 Women’s FA Cup
Lincoln W vs Northampton W
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lincoln W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rousseau J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Wilcock L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Northampton W Compare

Top Goalscorer Brewin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dicks A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lincoln W 40 / 100
Northampton W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lincoln W Northampton W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northampton W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 9 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Lincoln W's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 11 recent games.

Northampton W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lincoln W VS Northampton W
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Lincoln W

(Home)
03 Nov
Rugby Borough W
7 : 0
Lincoln W
12 Nov
Lincoln W
1 : 5
Derby W
30 Jan
Liverpool W
6 : 0
Lincoln W
12 Dec
Lincoln W
4 : 2
Northampton W
05 Dec
Leafield Athletic W
2 : 3
Lincoln W
Page 1 of 3

Northampton W

(Away)
23 Nov
Middlesbrough W
3 : 0
Northampton W
26 Oct
Northampton W
3 : 2
Sudbury W
03 Nov
Shrewsbury W
3 : 2
Northampton W
12 Nov
Northampton W
0 : 6
Ipswich W
27 Nov
Wolverhampton W
5 : 0
Northampton W
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Wakefield W 1
AFC Fylde W 4
Burnley W 2
Durham Cestria W 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Liverpool W -
Telford W 0
Leafield Athletic W 4
Burton W 0
Lincoln W 4
Shrewsbury W 1
Lye Town W 2
Northampton W 3
Bedworth United W 2
Arsenal W -
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Sutton W 0
Ashford Town W 6
Fulham W 0
Oxford Utd W 3
TBD -
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TBD -
London City Lionesses W -
Crewe W 0
West Brom W 5
Shifnal Town W 0
Lincoln Utd. W 4
Long Eaton W 4
Peterborough W 0
Netherton W 3
Knowle W 2
Cheltenham W 4
Liskeard Athletic W 0
Abingdon W 0
Southampton Women's W 3
AFC Stoneham W 0
Eastleigh W 6
Exeter W 3
Gwalia United W 1
Steyning Town W 0
Kent Football W 3
Chesham W 3
Cambridge Utd W 2
QPR W 11
Bromley W 0
Billericay W 5
Luton W 1
Watford W -
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Coventry United W -
Aston Villa W -
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Chelsea W -
Tottenham W -
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Leicester W -
South Shields W 1
Norton & Stockton W 4
Hartlepool W 0
Leeds W 4
TBD -
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Durham W -
Blackburn Community SC W 0
Hull City W 1
Liverpool Feds W 2
Fleetwood Town W 0
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Blackburn W -
Birmingham W -
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United of Manchester W 0
Brighouse Town W 1
Farsley W 2
Mossley Hill W 0
TBD -
TBD -
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Sunderland W -
Chorley W 5
Middlesbrough W 4
Cheadle Town W 1
Bradford City W 2
Salford W 4
Alnwick Town W 0
Newcastle Utd W 5
Harrogate W 1
Hashtag W 17
Southend W 0
Millwall W 0
AFC Wimbledon W 2
Milton Keynes Dons W 0
Ipswich W 2
Haywards Heath W 3
London Bees W 2
Portsmouth W 13
Dorking Wanderers W 0
Bournemouth Sports W 1
Bournemouth W 2
Ilminster W 3
Sherborne Town W 0
Southampton FC W 1
Swindon W 0
Bristol City W -
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Lewes W -
Brighton W -
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Reading W -
London Seaward W 0
Cambridge City W 2
Derby W 2
Stourbridge W 3
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Sheffield Utd W -
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West Ham W -
Ascot United W 0
Selsey W 4
New Milton Town W 0
Bridgwater W 4
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Crystal Palace W -
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Manchester United W -
Stoke City LFC W 5
Doncaster W 3
Wymondham W 0
Norwich W 2
Sporting Khalsa W 1
Wolverhampton W 7
Nottingham W 4
Lichfield City W 0
TBD -
TBD -
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Manchester City W -
Keynsham Town W 3
Plymouth W 5
St. Austell W 2
Torquay W 0
Worthing FC W 1
Hounslow W 2
Clapton Community W 2
Bedford W 1
Abingdon Town W 1
Gillingham W 4
Herne Bay W 1
Actonians W 8
TBD -
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Charlton W -
Sheffield FC W 2
Sutton Coldfield Town W 1
Huddersfield W 20
Sir Tom Finney W 0
Herts Vipers W 3
Stevenage W 6
Solihull Moors W 0
Loughborough Lightning W 3
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Everton W -
1/64-finals
AFC Fylde W 2
Burnley W 3
TBD -
Liverpool W -
Leafield Athletic W 2
Lincoln W 3
Lye Town W 1
Northampton W 2
Arsenal W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ashford Town W 3
Oxford Utd W 0
TBD -
London City Lionesses W -
West Brom W 4
Lincoln Utd. W 1
Long Eaton W -
Netherton W -
Cheltenham W 3
Southampton Women's W 4
Eastleigh W 0
Exeter W 5
Kent Football W 1
Chesham W 6
QPR W 0
Billericay W 3
Watford W -
TBD -
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Coventry United W -
Aston Villa W -
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Chelsea W -
Tottenham W -
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Leicester W -
Norton & Stockton W 1
Leeds W 2
TBD -
Durham W -
Hull City W 1
Liverpool Feds W 2
TBD -
Blackburn W -
Birmingham W -
TBD -
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Brighouse Town W 8
Farsley W 0
TBD -
Sunderland W -
Chorley W 3
Bradford City W 1
Salford W 0
Newcastle Utd W 4
Hashtag W 0
AFC Wimbledon W 1
Ipswich W 4
Haywards Heath W 0
Portsmouth W 2
Bournemouth W 1
Ilminster W 0
Southampton FC W 7
Bristol City W -
TBD -
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Lewes W -
Brighton W -
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Reading W -
Cambridge City W 1
Stourbridge W 2
TBD -
Sheffield Utd W -
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West Ham W -
Selsey W 0
Bridgwater W 3
TBD -
Crystal Palace W -
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Manchester United W -
Stoke City LFC W 5
Norwich W 1
Wolverhampton W 0
Nottingham W 4
TBD -
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Manchester City W -
Plymouth W 4
St. Austell W 2
Hounslow W 0
Clapton Community W 1
Gillingham W -
Actonians W -
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Charlton W -
Sheffield FC W 0
Huddersfield W 3
Stevenage W 0
Loughborough Lightning W 2
TBD -
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Everton W -
1/32-finals
Burnley W 0
Liverpool W 4
Lincoln W 4
Northampton W 2
Arsenal W -
TBD -
Ashford Town W 1
London City Lionesses W 6
West Brom W 5
Long Eaton W 1
Southampton Women's W 0
Exeter W 3
Chesham W 0
Billericay W 10
Watford W 0
Coventry United W 4
Aston Villa W -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea W -
Tottenham W -
TBD -
TBD -
Leicester W -
Leeds W 0
Durham W 6
Liverpool Feds W 0
Blackburn W 1
Birmingham W -
TBD -
Brighouse Town W 0
Sunderland W 1
Chorley W 0
Newcastle Utd W 3
AFC Wimbledon W 0
Ipswich W 2
Portsmouth W 1
Southampton FC W 2
Bristol City W 5
Lewes W 0
Brighton W -
TBD -
TBD -
Reading W -
Stourbridge W 0
Sheffield Utd W 3
TBD -
West Ham W -
Bridgwater W 1
Crystal Palace W 0
TBD -
Manchester United W -
Stoke City LFC W 1
Nottingham W 2
TBD -
Manchester City W -
Plymouth W 5
Clapton Community W 0
Gillingham W 0
Charlton W 1
Huddersfield W 3
Loughborough Lightning W 1
TBD -
Everton W -
1/16-finals
Liverpool W 6
Lincoln W 0
Arsenal W 1
London City Lionesses W 0
West Brom W 1
Exeter W 0
Billericay W 1
Coventry United W 2
Aston Villa W 1
Chelsea W 3
Tottenham W 1
Leicester W 3
Durham W 3
Blackburn W 1
Birmingham W 2
Sunderland W 1
Newcastle Utd W 0
Ipswich W 1
Southampton FC W 1
Bristol City W 0
Brighton W 2
Reading W 3
Sheffield Utd W 1
West Ham W 4
Bridgwater W 0
Manchester United W 2
Nottingham W 0
Manchester City W 8
Plymouth W 0
Charlton W 6
Huddersfield W 0
Everton W 4
1/8-finals
Liverpool W 0
Arsenal W 4
West Brom W 2
Coventry United W 4
Chelsea W 7
Leicester W 0
Durham W 0
Birmingham W 1
Ipswich W 2
Southampton FC W 1
Reading W 0
West Ham W 1
Manchester United W 1
Manchester City W 4
Charlton W 0
Everton W 2
Quarter-finals
Arsenal W 4
Coventry United W 0
Chelsea W 5
Birmingham W 0
Ipswich W 0
West Ham W 1
Manchester City W 4
Everton W 0
Semi-finals
Arsenal W 0
Chelsea W 2
West Ham W 1
Manchester City W 4
Final
Chelsea W 3
Manchester City W 2