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Linense vs Conil

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Dominguez D.
54' Event
Lopez Elo J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 game between Linense and Conil finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Linense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Linense
15%
Draws
51%
Conil
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Conil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Conil come out ahead of Linense on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Linense have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Linense Clean Sheet 17%
Conil Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Linense Conil
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.32 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Linense vs Conil
2:0
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Linense
0:2
May 15, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Linense vs Conil
3:0
Dec 19, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Linense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Linense Compare

Top Goalscorer Dominguez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez Elo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Conil Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linense 30 / 100
Conil 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Linense Conil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Linense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Linense's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Conil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Linense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Linense VS Conil
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Linense

(Home)
13 Sept
Linense
2 : 0
Tomares UD
05 Sept
Chiclana
2 : 1
Linense
10 May
Linense
2 : 0
Conil
03 May
Atletico Central
2 : 1
Linense
26 Apr
Linense
0 : 1
CD Utrera
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Conil

(Away)
16 Sept
Conil
1 : 0
Dos Hermanas
13 Sept
CD Utrera
2 : 0
Conil
09 Sept
Melilla
0 : 1
Conil
05 Sept
Conil
1 : 0
Pozoblanco
10 May
Linense
2 : 0
Conil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lucena 34 22 7 5 69:25 73
2 Dos Hermanas 34 18 6 10 69:39 60
3 Atletico Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 11 9 43:35 53
5 AD Ceuta B 34 14 10 10 38:38 52
6 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 52
7 Cadiz B 34 14 10 10 50:38 52
8 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 52
9 Cordoba B 34 12 8 14 44:44 44
10 CD Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 44
11 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 39:44 43
12 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 43
13 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 43
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Tomares UD 34 10 9 15 34:46 39
16 Sevilla C 34 10 8 16 34:41 38
17 Castilleja CF 34 6 9 19 28:62 27
18 Coria C.F. 34 4 9 21 24:59 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)