Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Linfield vs Dungannon

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 Windsor Park, Belfast
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Fitzpatrick M.
46'
Sub
Dillon K. In: Mitchell A.
Out: Dillon K.
60'
Mulgrew J.

AI Match Summary

Linfield in this NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Linfield
33%
Draws
40%
Dungannon
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Dungannon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Linfield lately — more wins on the board than Dungannon.
  • Dungannon are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Linfield have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Linfield, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Linfield have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Linfield Clean Sheet 10%
Dungannon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Linfield Dungannon
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 2
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.88 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Dungannon
3:1
Apr 7, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Linfield
1:3
Feb 17, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Linfield
1:4
Feb 10, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Dungannon
6:0
Aug 10, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Dungannon
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Linfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Fitzpatrick M.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Dungannon Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linfield 26 / 100
Dungannon 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Linfield Dungannon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dungannon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Linfield's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Linfield went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Linfield VS Dungannon
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Linfield

(Home)
28 Jul
Dollingstown
1 : 7
Linfield
24 Jul
Limavady
0 : 1
Linfield
18 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2
Doncaster
16 Jul
Linfield
2 : 2
Kalju
11 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2
Aberdeen
Page 1 of 6

Dungannon

(Away)
25 Jul
Harland & Wolff
1 : 1
Dungannon
24 Jul
Oxford Sunnyside
0 : 1
Dungannon
21 Jul
Loughgall
1 : 4
Dungannon
18 Jul
Dergview
0 : 3
Dungannon
18 Jul
Strabane Athletic
2 : 2
Dungannon
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Linfield-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cliftonville-
TBD-
Dungannon3
Carrick Rangers1
Semi-finals
Linfield-
TBD-
Cliftonville1
Dungannon2
Final
Linfield3
Dungannon1