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Lioli FC vs Manonyane

Lesotho Lesotho

Premier League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Lioli FC and Manonyane finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Lioli FC
35%
Draws
27%
Manonyane
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lioli FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lioli FC come out ahead of Manonyane on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lioli FC a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lioli FC Clean Sheet 11%
Manonyane Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lioli FC Manonyane
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 12 10
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.32 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Lioli FC vs Manonyane
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Premier League
Manonyane vs Lioli FC
0:0
Apr 22, 2025 Premier League
Lioli FC vs Manonyane
3:0
Oct 20, 2024 Premier League
Manonyane vs Lioli FC
0:1
Mar 3, 2024 Premier League
Lioli FC vs Manonyane
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lioli FC 40 / 100
Manonyane 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lioli FC Manonyane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Lioli FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Lioli FC found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Manonyane has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Lioli FC VS Manonyane
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lioli FC

(Home)
15 Sept
Machokha
0 : 5
Lioli FC
05 Sept
Lioli FC
2 : 0
Mzamane
29 Aug
Lioli FC
3 : 2
Linare
22 Aug
Lioli FC
2 : 2
Defence Force
16 May
Members
0 : 0
Lioli FC
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Manonyane

(Away)
15 Sept
Manonyane
2 : 2
LU FC
30 Aug
Manonyane
4 : 0
Lifofane
23 Aug
Manonyane
3 : 3
Bantu
16 May
Manonyane
0 : 1
Linare
10 May
Manonyane
2 : 1
Machokha
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lijabatho 30 19 8 3 63:18 65
2 Lifofane 30 18 6 6 44:24 60
3 Bantu 30 17 8 5 51:26 59
4 Matlama 30 16 10 4 38:22 58
5 Majantja 30 15 9 6 41:28 54
6 Defence Force 30 13 11 6 40:26 50
7 Lioli FC 30 13 11 6 37:24 50
8 Linare 30 13 7 10 42:31 46
9 LCS 30 12 9 9 32:26 45
10 LMPS 30 6 15 9 29:30 33
11 Manonyane 30 5 10 15 34:53 25
12 Machokha 30 6 6 18 17:39 24
13 LU FC 30 5 8 17 24:48 23
14 Members 30 5 7 18 22:55 22
15 Liphakoe 30 3 12 15 16:40 21
16 Maroala 30 3 5 22 17:57 14
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)