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Lioli FC vs Matlama - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lesotho Lesotho

Premier League
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lioli FC host Matlama in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Lioli FC have averaged 1.24 scored and 0.83 conceded recently, against Matlama's 1.55 scored and 0.59 conceded. Head-to-head, Lioli FC have won 0 to Matlama's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.44, favoring Matlama. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Lioli FC
30%
Draws
40%
Matlama
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Matlama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Lioli FC haven't matched Matlama's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lioli FC a 30% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Lioli FC Clean Sheet 16%
Matlama Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lioli FC Matlama
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 19
Draws 14 7
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 1.24 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Premier League
Matlama vs Lioli FC
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Premier League
Lioli FC vs Matlama
1:2
May 1, 2025 Premier League
Lioli FC vs Matlama
3:3
Dec 7, 2024 Premier League
Matlama vs Lioli FC
1:0
May 18, 2024 Premier League
Lioli FC vs Matlama
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lioli FC 57 / 100
Matlama 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lioli FC Matlama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lioli FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Lioli FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Lioli FC's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Matlama has conceded goals in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lioli FC VS Matlama
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lioli FC

(Home)
18 Oct
Manonyane
1 : 1
Lioli FC
10 Oct
Lioli FC
0 : 0
Majantja
03 Oct
Lijabatho
0 : 0
Lioli FC
15 Sept
Machokha
0 : 5
Lioli FC
05 Sept
Lioli FC
2 : 0
Mzamane
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Matlama

(Away)
18 Oct
Matlama
2 : 0
Linare
14 Oct
Matlama
1 : 3
Lijabatho
10 Oct
LU FC
1 : 2
Matlama
03 Oct
LCS
0 : 1
Matlama
05 Sept
Lifofane
1 : 2
Matlama
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Matlama 7 6 0 1 15:6 18
2 Lijabatho 7 5 2 0 16:2 17
3 Bantu 7 5 1 1 20:9 16
4 Majantja 7 4 2 1 8:4 14
5 Lioli FC 7 3 4 0 13:5 13
6 Linare 7 4 1 2 13:10 13
7 LCS 7 3 1 3 7:6 10
8 Defence Force 7 2 4 1 6:6 10
9 Members 7 2 2 3 3:8 8
10 Manonyane 7 1 4 2 10:8 7
11 Lifofane 7 2 1 4 9:14 7
12 LU FC 7 1 3 3 7:10 6
13 Villa 7 1 1 5 3:9 4
14 Machokha 7 1 1 5 5:14 4
15 Mzamane 7 1 1 5 3:19 4
16 LMPS 7 0 2 5 4:12 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)