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Lion City Sailors vs Albirex Niigata

Singapore Singapore

Premier League Jalan Besar Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Lion City Sailors play Albirex Niigata in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lion City Sailors averaged 2.61 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Albirex Niigata averaged 2.3 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Lion City Sailors won 3, Albirex Niigata won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Lion City Sailors and 1.50 for Albirex Niigata. This points to a Lion City Sailors double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Lion City Sailors
15%
Draws
41%
Albirex Niigata
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lion City Sailors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Lion City Sailors picked up more points recently compared to Albirex Niigata.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Lion City Sailors Clean Sheet 16%
Albirex Niigata Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lion City Sailors Albirex Niigata
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 24 21
Draws 4 3
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2.61 2.3
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premier League
Lion City Sailors vs Albirex Niigata
0:2
Feb 28, 2026 Premier League
Albirex Niigata vs Lion City Sailors
3:3
Oct 27, 2025 Premier League
Lion City Sailors vs Albirex Niigata
3:0
Apr 25, 2025 Premier League
Albirex Niigata vs Lion City Sailors
0:2
Jan 17, 2025 Premier League
Lion City Sailors vs Albirex Niigata
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lion City Sailors Compare

Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Albirex Niigata Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakano S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suzliman Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lion City Sailors 43 / 100
Albirex Niigata 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lion City Sailors Albirex Niigata

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lion City Sailors or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lion City Sailors attacking → ← attacking Albirex Niigata

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lion City Sailors scored in 83% of their last 36 games.

Albirex Niigata let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Lion City Sailors went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Albirex Niigata lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

76 Points in last 5 66
3.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lion City Sailors21163270:1451
2Tampines21154258:2149
3Albirex Niigata21152447:1947
4Balestier Khalsa21112844:4635
5Geylang21731129:4224
6Hougang21701424:4121
7Young Lions21231615:589
8Tanjong Pagar21211817:637