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Lions Gibraltar vs St Josephs - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Gibraltar Gibraltar

National League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National League 2025/2026 game between Lions Gibraltar and St Josephs finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St Josephs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lions Gibraltar
20%
Draws
47%
St Josephs
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St Josephs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • St Josephs carry the better recent record into this one.
  • St Josephs are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Lions Gibraltar Clean Sheet 16%
St Josephs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lions Gibraltar St Josephs
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 19
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 2.03 3.24
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 National League
St Josephs vs Lions Gibraltar
3:3
Feb 7, 2026 National League
Lions Gibraltar vs St Josephs
0:4
Oct 26, 2025 National League
St Josephs vs Lions Gibraltar
3:1
May 3, 2025 National League
St Josephs vs Lions Gibraltar
6:0
Feb 15, 2025 Gibraltar Cup
St Josephs vs Lions Gibraltar
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lions Gibraltar 11 / 100
St Josephs 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lions Gibraltar St Josephs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Josephs Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lions Gibraltar scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Lions Gibraltar went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

St Josephs's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lions Gibraltar VS St Josephs
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lions Gibraltar

(Home)
20 Sept
Lions Gibraltar
0 : 4
Glacis United
12 Sept
Europa Point
4 : 2
Lions Gibraltar
05 Sept
Lions Gibraltar
5 : 1
Hound Dogs
29 Aug
College 1975
1 : 2
Lions Gibraltar
22 Aug
Lions Gibraltar
1 : 1
Magpies
Page 1 of 6

St Josephs

(Away)
19 Sept
Lynx
0 : 6
St Josephs
12 Sept
St Josephs
3 : 0
Europa FC
28 Aug
St Josephs
2 : 1
Mons Calpe
23 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps
3 : 1
St Josephs
16 Jul
St Josephs
0 : 0
Bohemians
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lincoln Red Imps 22 19 2 1 79:14 59
2 St Josephs 22 19 1 2 90:10 58
3 Mons Calpe 22 15 1 6 55:24 46
4 Europa FC 22 15 1 6 44:16 46
5 Lions Gibraltar 22 12 2 8 47:34 38
6 Lynx 22 10 4 8 34:33 34
7 Magpies 22 8 2 12 22:37 26
8 Europa Point 22 7 1 14 31:61 22
9 College 1975 22 3 5 14 15:45 14
10 Glacis United 22 3 3 16 18:57 12
11 Hound Dogs 22 1 5 16 10:66 8
12 Manchester 62 22 6 1 15 29:77 7
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)