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Lipno Steszew vs Baltyk Koszalin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Albinski O.
36' Event
Rutowski K.
50' Event
Rutowski K.

AI Match Summary

Lipno Steszew in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lipno Steszew.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Lipno Steszew
20%
Draws
51%
Baltyk Koszalin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baltyk Koszalin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Baltyk Koszalin at 1.24 per game, Lipno Steszew at 1.23.
  • Win probability leans Baltyk Koszalin's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Lipno Steszew Clean Sheet 12%
Baltyk Koszalin Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lipno Steszew Baltyk Koszalin
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lipno Steszew vs Baltyk Koszalin
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lipno Steszew Compare

Top Goalscorer Rutowski K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Baltyk Koszalin Compare

Top Goalscorer Albinski O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lipno Steszew 27 / 100
Baltyk Koszalin 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lipno Steszew Baltyk Koszalin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baltyk Koszalin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lipno Steszew found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Baltyk Koszalin has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Lipno Steszew has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lipno Steszew VS Baltyk Koszalin
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lipno Steszew

(Home)
03 Oct
Lipno Steszew
0 : 1
Chemik Bydgoszcz
26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1
Lipno Steszew
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
12 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
4 : 1
Lipno Steszew
05 Sept
Lipno Steszew
1 : 3
Swinoujscie
Page 1 of 6

Baltyk Koszalin

(Away)
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3
Baltyk Koszalin
26 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 1
Gedania Gdansk
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
12 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 2
Blekitni Stargard
05 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 2
Baltyk Koszalin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 11 8 3 0 33:16 27
2 Luzino 11 8 1 2 31:13 25
3 Kluczevia Stargard 10 6 1 3 19:16 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 10 5 3 2 15:14 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 11 4 2 5 15:20 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 11 4 1 6 28:28 13
13 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
14 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
15 Elana Torun 11 2 4 5 16:22 10
16 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 11 1 5 5 11:23 8
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)