Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lipno Steszew vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Borkowski A.
62' Event
Wilczynski J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Lipno Steszew
22%
Draws
18%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Lipno Steszew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lipno Steszew lately — more wins on the board than Polonia Sroda Wielkopol.
  • Lipno Steszew are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lipno Steszew Clean Sheet 16%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lipno Steszew Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lipno Steszew vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:1
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Lipno Steszew vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:3
Sep 12, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Lipno Steszew
2:0
Jul 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Lipno Steszew
2:3
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Lipno Steszew vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lipno Steszew Compare

Top Goalscorer Borkowski A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilczynski J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lipno Steszew 57 / 100
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lipno Steszew Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lipno Steszew scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Lipno Steszew went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lipno Steszew VS Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415