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Liria vs Suhareka

Kosovo Kosovo

Kosovar Cup
Liria Logo

Liria

2 - 1
FT
Suhareka Logo

Suhareka

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Liria
15%
Draws
40%
Suhareka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Liria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Suhareka haven't matched Liria's recent run of results.
  • Suhareka are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Liria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Liria, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Liria here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Liria Clean Sheet 10%
Suhareka Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liria Suhareka
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 19 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.79 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Liga e Pare
Liria vs Suhareka
4:2
Dec 4, 2025 Kosovar Cup
Liria vs Suhareka
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Liga e Pare
Suhareka vs Liria
1:2
Jan 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Liria vs Suhareka
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liria 26 / 100
Suhareka 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liria Suhareka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suhareka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Suhareka conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Liria scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Liria remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Liria VS Suhareka
1.63 Goals Scored 3
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Liria

(Home)
16 Aug
Liria
2 : 1
Ferizaj
25 Jul
Llapi
0 : 0
Liria
29 May
Liria
0 : 2
Dinamo Ferizaj
23 May
Dinamo Ferizaj
1 : 5
Liria
16 May
Liria
4 : 2
Suhareka
Page 1 of 6

Suhareka

(Away)
15 Aug
Suhareka
5 : 0
Istogu
23 May
Suhareka
6 : 3
Tefik Canga
16 May
Liria
4 : 2
Suhareka
09 May
Suhareka
3 : 1
Rilindja
03 May
Dinamo Ferizaj
3 : 2
Suhareka
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Besa Peja 0
Drita 3
Llapi 4
Vjosa 1
Kika 2
Trepca 89 4
Trepca Mitrovice 1
Malisheva 2
Drenica 1
Prizreni 0
Ferizaj 2
Tefik Canga 0
Flamurtari 0
Vushtrria 2
Kek-U 0
Vellaznimi 2
TOP Futbolli 0
Prishtina 2
FC Ballkani 1
Rilindja 0
Gjilani 2
Istogu 1
Liria 2
Suhareka 1
Dukagjini 3
Ramiz Sadiku 1
Prishtina e Re 4
KF Lepenci 1
Istogu 03 0
Feronikeli 2
2 Korriku 0
Dinamo Ferizaj 3
1/8-finals
Drita 1
Llapi 2
Trepca 89 0
Malisheva 4
Drenica 0
Ferizaj 1
Vushtrria 2
Vellaznimi 0
Prishtina 3
FC Ballkani 4
Gjilani 2
Liria 1
Dukagjini 1
Prishtina e Re 0
Feronikeli 2
Dinamo Ferizaj 1
Quarter-finals
Llapi 3
Malisheva 2
Ferizaj 2
Vushtrria 0
FC Ballkani 2
Gjilani 1
Dukagjini 3
Feronikeli 0
Semi-finals
Llapi 1
Ferizaj 2
FC Ballkani 2
Dukagjini 6
Final
Ferizaj 1
Dukagjini 2