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Lisburn Ladies W vs Derry City W

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Premiership Women
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Mcintyre R.

AI Match Summary

Derry City W in this Premiership Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Derry City W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Lisburn Ladies W
6%
Draws
90%
Derry City W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Derry City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lisburn Ladies W haven't matched Derry City W's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Derry City W taking it.
  • Regular Premiership Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Derry City W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Lisburn Ladies W Clean Sheet 10%
Derry City W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lisburn Ladies W Derry City W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 2 2
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 0.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 3.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Premiership Women
Lisburn Ladies W vs Derry City W
0:1
Sep 26, 2025 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Lisburn Ladies W
1:3
Jul 25, 2025 Premiership Women
Lisburn Ladies W vs Derry City W
0:2
Jun 6, 2025 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Lisburn Ladies W
1:0
Oct 13, 2024 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Lisburn Ladies W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lisburn Ladies W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Derry City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mcintyre R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lisburn Ladies W 10 / 100
Derry City W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lisburn Ladies W Derry City W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derry City W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Lisburn Ladies W found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

Lisburn Ladies W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lisburn Ladies W VS Derry City W
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Linfield W751138:716
2Glentoran W651026:516
3Cliftonville W650126:715
4Lisburn Rangers W740314:1612
5Crusaders W832317:2711
6Derry City W821515:237
7Lisburn Ladies W81164:294
8Larne W80265:312