Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lisse vs RKSV UDI 19

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark Ter Specke, Lisse
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lisse in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lisse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Lisse
20%
Draws
33%
RKSV UDI 19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lisse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lisse lately — more wins on the board than RKSV UDI 19.
  • Model gives Lisse a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lisse Clean Sheet 16%
RKSV UDI 19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lisse RKSV UDI 19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.79 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs RKSV UDI 19
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Derde Divisie
RKSV UDI 19 vs Lisse
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lisse 39 / 100
RKSV UDI 19 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lisse RKSV UDI 19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lisse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lisse scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: RKSV UDI 19 conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Lisse went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lisse VS RKSV UDI 19
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lisse

(Home)
04 Oct
Gemert
0 : 2
Lisse
26 Sept
Lisse
1 : 1
EVV
19 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0
Lisse
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2
TOGB
05 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2
Lisse
Page 1 of 6

RKSV UDI 19

(Away)
04 Oct
GOES
0 : 4
RKSV UDI 19
27 Sept
RKSV UDI 19
0 : 4
Rijnvogels
23 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1
RKSV UDI 19
20 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1
RKSV UDI 19
13 Sept
RKSV UDI 19
4 : 1
EVV
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)