Sport Picks
Lisse vs Roosendaal
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark Ter Specke, Lisse 
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between Lisse and Roosendaal finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lisse.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lisse
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Roosendaal haven't matched Lisse's recent run of results.
- Lisse are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Lisse here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Lisse Clean Sheet 18%
Roosendaal Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lisse | Roosendaal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Derde Divisie
Roosendaal vs Lisse
0:1
May 16, 2026 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs Roosendaal
3:2
Dec 7, 2025 Derde Divisie
Roosendaal vs Lisse
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lisse 85 / 100
Roosendaal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lisse Roosendaal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lisse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lisse found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Roosendaal conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Lisse has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lisse VS Roosendaal
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Lisse
(Home) 04 Oct
Gemert
0 : 2 Lisse
26 Sept
Lisse
1 : 1 EVV
19 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0 Lisse
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2 TOGB
05 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2 Lisse
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26 Sept
Lisse
1 : 1 EVV
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2 TOGB
29 Aug
Lisse
1 : 0 Excelsior Maassluis
18 Aug
Lisse
4 : 2 Aalsmeer
15 Aug
Lisse
4 : 1 Achilles Veen
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Roosendaal
(Away) 03 Oct
TOGB
4 : 3 Roosendaal
26 Sept
Roosendaal
3 : 1 VVSB
22 Sept
Eemdijk
2 : 1 Roosendaal
19 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
5 : 0 Roosendaal
12 Sept
Roosendaal
1 : 3 Blauw Geel
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03 Oct
TOGB
4 : 3 Roosendaal
22 Sept
Eemdijk
2 : 1 Roosendaal
19 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
5 : 0 Roosendaal
02 Sept
GSV 28
0 : 4 Roosendaal
29 Aug
VV Noordwijk
1 : 0 Roosendaal
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
