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Lisse vs SJC Noordwijk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Stevens B.
80' Event
Iliohan B.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2018/2019 game between Lisse and SJC Noordwijk finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lisse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Lisse
15%
Draws
32%
SJC Noordwijk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lisse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lisse come out ahead of SJC Noordwijk on wins alone.
  • Lisse are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lisse here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Lisse Clean Sheet 19%
SJC Noordwijk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lisse SJC Noordwijk
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 26 8
Draws 5 1
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 2.08 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.95 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2019 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs SJC Noordwijk
2:0
Sep 15, 2018 Derde Divisie
SJC Noordwijk vs Lisse
2:1
Aug 22, 2018 KNVB Beker
SJC Noordwijk vs Lisse
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lisse Compare

Top Goalscorer Stevens B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iliohan B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

SJC Noordwijk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lisse 85 / 100
SJC Noordwijk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lisse SJC Noordwijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lisse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lisse's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

SJC Noordwijk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lisse stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lisse VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lisse

(Home)
04 Oct
Gemert
0 : 2
Lisse
26 Sept
Lisse
1 : 1
EVV
19 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0
Lisse
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2
TOGB
05 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2
Lisse
Page 1 of 8

SJC Noordwijk

(Away)
02 Nov
SJC Noordwijk
1 : 3
Willem II
20 Sept
SJC Noordwijk
1 : 0
Gemert
12 Aug
SJC Noordwijk
2 : 1
Bon Boys
08 Jun
RKAV Volendam
5 : 2
SJC Noordwijk
04 Jun
SJC Noordwijk
0 : 3
RKAV Volendam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 34 25 5 4 94:41 80
2 Quick Boys 34 22 6 6 84:40 72
3 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 21 5 8 102:47 68
4 HSV Hoek 34 19 7 8 82:55 64
5 Groningen U21 34 17 7 10 66:39 58
6 Harkemase Boys 34 17 6 11 68:59 57
7 ASWH 34 16 7 11 74:54 55
8 SteDoCo 34 17 4 13 65:56 55
9 ODIN '59 34 17 3 14 71:66 54
10 Lisse 34 16 3 15 62:64 51
11 VV DOVO 34 14 6 14 76:66 48
12 Ajax (Am) 34 12 5 17 52:61 41
13 ONS Sneek 34 12 3 19 57:58 39
14 VVOG 34 9 8 17 41:72 35
15 Eemdijk 34 9 2 23 51:87 29
16 SJC Noordwijk 34 8 2 24 50:105 26
17 De Dijk 34 4 7 23 49:111 19
18 Achilles 29 34 4 8 22 44:107 16
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2019/2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Volendam 34 22 5 7 97:44 71
2 TEC 34 21 7 6 63:38 70
3 OFC Oostzaan 34 18 8 8 79:43 62
4 GOES 34 20 1 13 80:55 61
5 UNA 34 17 5 12 68:55 56
6 FC OSS '20 34 16 6 12 70:53 54
7 HV & CV Quick 34 15 5 14 67:66 50
8 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 13 8 13 59:57 47
9 Westlandia 34 14 4 16 59:73 46
10 Dongen 34 14 3 17 51:70 45
11 USV Hercules 34 12 8 14 55:63 44
12 HSC '21 34 14 2 18 51:73 44
13 Blauw Geel 34 12 7 15 62:65 43
14 EVV 34 11 9 14 39:43 41
15 JVC '31 Cuijk 34 12 3 19 43:77 39
16 OJC Rosmalen 34 10 5 19 49:61 35
17 KVV Quick 20 34 8 7 19 53:84 31
18 HBS Craeyenhout 34 7 7 20 37:62 28
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2019/2020 (Main)