Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between Lisse and VVSB finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lisse.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lisse
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lisse carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Lisse a 58% chance of winning this.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Lisse Clean Sheet 20%
VVSB Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lisse | VVSB |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs VVSB
3:0
Nov 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
VVSB vs Lisse
2:1
Jan 25, 2025 Derde Divisie
VVSB vs Lisse
0:1
Aug 31, 2024 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs VVSB
3:0
Jun 4, 2022 Derde Divisie
VVSB vs Lisse
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lisse 85 / 100
VVSB 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lisse VVSB
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lisse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Lisse scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Lisse remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: VVSB conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Lisse VS VVSB
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Lisse
(Home) 22 Aug
Roosendaal
0 : 1 Lisse
18 Aug
Lisse
4 : 2 Aalsmeer
15 Aug
Lisse
4 : 1 Achilles Veen
08 Aug
Lisse
4 : 0 TOGB
04 Aug
Lisse
2 : 1 Katwijk
Page 1 of 6
18 Aug
Lisse
4 : 2 Aalsmeer
15 Aug
Lisse
4 : 1 Achilles Veen
08 Aug
Lisse
4 : 0 TOGB
04 Aug
Lisse
2 : 1 Katwijk
30 May
Lisse
0 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
Page 1 of 3
VVSB
(Away) 22 Aug
VVSB
0 : 2 RKSV UDI 19
15 Aug
SV Poortugaal
0 : 1 VVSB
30 May
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 0 VVSB
27 May
VVSB
1 : 1 Excelsior Maassluis
23 May
Rijnvogels
0 : 3 VVSB
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
SV Poortugaal
0 : 1 VVSB
30 May
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 0 VVSB
23 May
Rijnvogels
0 : 3 VVSB
10 May
Gemert
0 : 1 VVSB
25 Apr
Meerssen
0 : 2 VVSB
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
