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Lithuania U17 W vs Estonia U17 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Euro U17 Women 2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Ottas E.
Assist: Pihlak G.
45'
Matson G.
46'
Sub
Rei M. In: Uzjukina A.
Out: Rei M.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U17 Women 2026 game between Lithuania U17 W and Estonia U17 W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estonia U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Lithuania U17 W
15%
Draws
76%
Estonia U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estonia U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Lithuania U17 W haven't matched Estonia U17 W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Estonia U17 W a 76% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Estonia U17 W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Lithuania U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Estonia U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lithuania U17 W Estonia U17 W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.47 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.47 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 Euro U17 Women
Lithuania U17 W vs Estonia U17 W
0:3
Jul 1, 2024 Friendly International Women
Estonia U17 W vs Lithuania U17 W
2:0
Jun 30, 2023 Friendly International Women
Lithuania U17 W vs Estonia U17 W
2:3
Jul 6, 2022 Friendly International Women
Lithuania U17 W vs Estonia U17 W
1:2
Aug 20, 2012 Friendly International Women
Estonia U17 W vs Lithuania U17 W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lithuania U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Estonia U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Eberg E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ottas E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lithuania U17 W 10 / 100
Estonia U17 W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lithuania U17 W Estonia U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estonia U17 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Estonia U17 W conceded in 85% of 33 recent games.

Lithuania U17 W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Lithuania U17 W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lithuania U17 W VS Estonia U17 W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania U17 W

(Home)
07 Oct
Latvia U17 W
2 : 2
Lithuania U17 W
02 Apr
Lithuania U17 W
0 : 3
Belarus U17 W
30 Mar
Lithuania U17 W
0 : 3
Estonia U17 W
27 Mar
Malta U17 W
2 : 1
Lithuania U17 W
06 Nov
Lithuania U17 W
0 : 9
Sweden U17 W
Page 1 of 6

Estonia U17 W

(Away)
07 Oct
Estonia U17 W
3 : 1
Faroe Islands U17 W
02 Apr
Estonia U17 W
3 : 2
Malta U17 W
30 Mar
Lithuania U17 W
0 : 3
Estonia U17 W
27 Mar
Belarus U17 W
3 : 0
Estonia U17 W
23 Oct
Estonia U17 W
1 : 2
Greece U17 W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belarus U17 W 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
2 Malta U17 W 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Estonia U17 W 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
4 Lithuania U17 W 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 1 - League A)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Ireland U17 W 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 North Macedonia U17 W 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
3 Georgia U17 W 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
4 Luxembourg U17 W 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 1 - League A)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U17 W 3 3 0 0 21:0 9
2 Faroe Islands U17 W 3 2 0 1 10:7 6
3 Slovenia U17 W 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Azerbaijan U17 W 3 0 0 3 1:20 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 1 - League A)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kazakhstan U17 W 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Moldova U17 W 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
3 Montenegro U17 W 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 1 - League A)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U17 W 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Bulgaria U17 W 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina U17 W 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 1 - League A)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Israel U17 W 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
2 Andorra U17 W 2 1 0 1 4:1 3
3 Albania U17 W 2 0 1 1 0:4 1
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 1 - League A)