Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lithuania U18 vs Finland U18

World World

Friendly International 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Kilo J.
90' Event
Luksys N.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2021 game between Lithuania U18 and Finland U18 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Lithuania U18
30%
Draws
39%
Finland U18
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Finland U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Lithuania U18 have managed 0.93 goals a game lately — Finland U18 are scoring more at 1.68.
  • Finland U18 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Lithuania U18 Clean Sheet 20%
Finland U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lithuania U18 Finland U18
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2024 Friendly International
Finland U18 vs Lithuania U18
0:0
Nov 17, 2021 Friendly International
Lithuania U18 vs Finland U18
1:1
Nov 16, 2021 Friendly International
Lithuania U18 vs Finland U18
0:2
Aug 6, 2011 Friendly International
Lithuania U18 vs Finland U18
4:1
Aug 4, 2011 Friendly International
Lithuania U18 vs Finland U18
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lithuania U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Luksys N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Finland U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kilo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lithuania U18 28 / 100
Finland U18 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lithuania U18 Finland U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finland U18 let in goals in 80% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Lithuania U18 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Lithuania U18 scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lithuania U18 VS Finland U18
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.88
33% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania U18

(Home)
23 Mar
Malta U18
0 : 1
Lithuania U18
21 Mar
Malta U18
2 : 2
Lithuania U18
18 Jun
Lithuania U18
2 : 1
Estonia U18
17 Nov
Lithuania U18
1 : 1
Finland U18
16 Nov
Lithuania U18
0 : 2
Finland U18
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Finland U18

(Away)
09 Jun
Finland U18
3 : 1
Norway U18
06 Jun
Finland U18
3 : 1
Turkey U18
04 Jun
Ukraine U18
0 : 0
Finland U18
15 Nov
Denmark U18
1 : 2
Finland U18
13 Nov
Denmark U18
2 : 1
Finland U18
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