Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lithuania U21 vs Czech Republic U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Jonavos centrinis stadionas, Jonava
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Jansonas R.
21'
Gudelevicius E.
42'
Virvilas J.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 2025 game between Lithuania U21 and Czech Republic U21 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Czech Republic U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Lithuania U21
35%
Draws
43%
Czech Republic U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Czech Republic U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Lithuania U21 haven't matched Czech Republic U21's recent run of results.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Czech Republic U21 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Czech Republic U21 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Lithuania U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Czech Republic U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lithuania U21 Czech Republic U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 2 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 0.82 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2024 Euro U21
Czech Republic U21 vs Lithuania U21
3:0
Sep 6, 2024 Euro U21
Lithuania U21 vs Czech Republic U21
1:2
Oct 13, 2020 Euro U21
Lithuania U21 vs Czech Republic U21
0:1
Sep 6, 2019 Euro U21
Czech Republic U21 vs Lithuania U21
2:0
Sep 2, 1999 Euro U21
Lithuania U21 vs Czech Republic U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lithuania U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jansonas R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Czech Republic U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alijagic D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sejk V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lithuania U21 10 / 100
Czech Republic U21 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lithuania U21 Czech Republic U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Czech Republic U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lithuania U21's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Czech Republic U21 has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lithuania U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lithuania U21 VS Czech Republic U21
0.63 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania U21

(Home)
09 Jun
Lithuania U21
2 : 2
Latvia U21
07 Jun
Estonia U21
2 : 2
Lithuania U21
27 Mar
Ukraine U21
1 : 1
Lithuania U21
18 Nov
Lithuania U21
1 : 2
Turkey U21
13 Nov
Croatia U21
4 : 0
Lithuania U21
Page 1 of 6

Czech Republic U21

(Away)
25 Sept
Azerbaijan U21
1 : 1
Czech Republic U21
31 Mar
Czech Republic U21
5 : 0
Gibraltar U21
27 Mar
Scotland U21
0 : 0
Czech Republic U21
18 Nov
Czech Republic U21
0 : 0
Portugal U21
14 Nov
Czech Republic U21
1 : 2
Serbia U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U21 10 6 4 0 27:4 22
2 Norway U21 10 6 1 3 28:11 19
3 Ireland U21 10 5 4 1 24:12 19
4 Turkey U21 10 4 1 5 21:15 13
5 Latvia U21 10 3 2 5 10:18 11
6 San Marino U21 10 0 0 10 1:51 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 10 9 1 0 28:5 28
2 Belgium U21 10 6 1 3 13:6 19
3 Scotland U21 10 5 1 4 19:11 16
4 Hungary U21 10 5 1 4 12:8 16
5 Kazakhstan U21 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
6 Malta U21 10 0 0 10 4:35 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U21 10 10 0 0 32:3 30
2 Georgia U21 10 6 1 3 14:10 19
3 Sweden U21 10 5 2 3 25:10 17
4 North Macedonia U21 10 4 0 6 8:15 12
5 Moldova U21 10 2 1 7 7:20 7
6 Gibraltar U21 10 1 0 9 3:31 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 10 8 2 0 35:10 26
2 Poland U21 10 7 1 2 24:10 22
3 Bulgaria U21 10 4 3 3 17:12 15
4 Kosovo U21 10 3 3 4 10:17 12
5 Estonia U21 10 2 1 7 7:31 7
6 Israel U21 10 1 0 9 5:18 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania U21 10 7 1 2 23:10 22
2 Finland U21 10 6 2 2 21:8 20
3 Switzerland U21 10 5 3 2 21:12 18
4 Albania U21 10 5 1 4 12:17 16
5 Montenegro U21 10 2 1 7 8:19 7
6 Armenia U21 10 0 2 8 2:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 10 8 1 1 41:6 25
2 Ukraine U21 10 8 0 2 20:7 24
3 Serbia U21 10 5 1 4 13:18 16
4 Northern Ireland U21 10 3 2 5 10:10 11
5 Luxembourg U21 10 2 2 6 6:23 8
6 Azerbaijan U21 10 1 0 9 4:30 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 10 9 0 1 33:6 27
2 Croatia U21 10 7 1 2 20:14 22
3 Greece U21 10 5 2 3 16:10 17
4 Faroe Islands U21 10 3 1 6 11:24 10
5 Belarus U21 10 1 3 6 6:20 6
6 Andorra U21 10 0 3 7 4:16 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovenia U21 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
2 France U21 8 5 1 2 22:6 16
3 Austria U21 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
4 Cyprus U21 8 1 2 5 7:23 5
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 8 1 0 7 5:17 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U21 8 5 2 1 18:8 17
2 Czech Republic U21 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
3 Wales U21 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
4 Iceland U21 8 3 0 5 9:14 9
5 Lithuania U21 8 1 0 7 7:16 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)