Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lithuania U21 vs Czech Republic U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Jonavos centrinis stadionas, Jonava
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Jansonas R.
21'
Gudelevicius E.
42'
Virvilas J.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 2025 game between Lithuania U21 and Czech Republic U21 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Czech Republic U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Lithuania U21
6%
Draws
90%
Czech Republic U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Czech Republic U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lithuania U21 haven't matched Czech Republic U21's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Czech Republic U21 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Czech Republic U21 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Lithuania U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Czech Republic U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lithuania U21 Czech Republic U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 2 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0.63 2
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2024 Euro U21
Czech Republic U21 vs Lithuania U21
3:0
Sep 6, 2024 Euro U21
Lithuania U21 vs Czech Republic U21
1:2
Oct 13, 2020 Euro U21
Lithuania U21 vs Czech Republic U21
0:1
Sep 6, 2019 Euro U21
Czech Republic U21 vs Lithuania U21
2:0
Sep 2, 1999 Euro U21
Lithuania U21 vs Czech Republic U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lithuania U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jansonas R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Czech Republic U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alijagic D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sejk V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lithuania U21 10 / 100
Czech Republic U21 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lithuania U21 Czech Republic U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CZE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Czech Republic U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Lithuania U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Lithuania U21 found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Lithuania U21 VS Czech Republic U21
0.63 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania U21

(Home)
09 Jun
Lithuania U21
2 : 2
Latvia U21
07 Jun
Estonia U21
2 : 2
Lithuania U21
27 Mar
Ukraine U21
1 : 1
Lithuania U21
18 Nov
Lithuania U21
1 : 2
Turkey U21
13 Nov
Croatia U21
4 : 0
Lithuania U21
Page 1 of 6

Czech Republic U21

(Away)
31 Mar
Czech Republic U21
5 : 0
Gibraltar U21
27 Mar
Scotland U21
0 : 0
Czech Republic U21
18 Nov
Czech Republic U21
0 : 0
Portugal U21
14 Nov
Czech Republic U21
1 : 2
Serbia U21
14 Oct
Bulgaria U21
2 : 1
Czech Republic U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Italy U211064027:422
2Norway U211061328:1119
3Ireland U211054124:1219
4Turkey U211041521:1513
5Latvia U211032510:1811
6San Marino U211000101:510
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U211091028:528
2Belgium U211061313:619
3Scotland U211051419:1116
4Hungary U211051412:816
5Kazakhstan U211030713:249
6Malta U211000104:350
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands U2110100032:330
2Georgia U211061314:1019
3Sweden U211052325:1017
4North Macedonia U21104068:1512
5Moldova U21102177:207
6Gibraltar U21101093:313
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany U211082035:1026
2Poland U211071224:1022
3Bulgaria U211043317:1215
4Kosovo U211033410:1712
5Estonia U21102177:317
6Israel U21101095:183
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Romania U211071223:1022
2Finland U211062221:820
3Switzerland U211053221:1218
4Albania U211051412:1716
5Montenegro U21102178:197
6Armenia U21100282:212
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England U211081141:625
2Ukraine U211080220:724
3Serbia U211051413:1816
4Northern Ireland U211032510:1011
5Luxembourg U21102266:238
6Azerbaijan U21101094:303
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal U211090133:627
2Croatia U211071220:1422
3Greece U211052316:1017
4Faroe Islands U211031611:2410
5Belarus U21101366:206
6Andorra U21100374:163
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Slovenia U21852113:717
2France U21851222:616
3Austria U21843112:615
4Cyprus U2181257:235
5Bosnia & Herzegovina U2181075:173
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Denmark U21852118:817
2Czech Republic U21842213:1114
3Wales U21842213:1114
4Iceland U2183059:149
5Lithuania U2181077:163
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)