Sport Picks
Match Events
32'
32'
Kyprianou H.
34'
34'
Pittas I.
Assist: Tzionis M.
45'
45'
Panagiotou Filiotis A.
AI Match Summary
Cyprus in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cyprus.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cyprus
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Cyprus have won more games recently than Lithuania.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Cyprus here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Lithuania Clean Sheet 68%
Cyprus Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lithuania | Cyprus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.82 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 15, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Cyprus vs Lithuania
2:1
Sep 6, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Lithuania vs Cyprus
0:1
Nov 19, 2023 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Lithuania
1:0
Feb 26, 2001 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Lithuania
1:2
Feb 2, 2000 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Lithuania
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lithuania Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Cyprus Compare
Top Goalscorer Pittas I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lithuania 42 / 100
Cyprus 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lithuania Cyprus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Cyprus conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Lithuania scored in 57% of their last 28 games.
Lithuania has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lithuania VS Cyprus
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Lithuania
(Home) 09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0 Lithuania
06 Jun
Lithuania
2 : 1 Latvia
29 Mar
Lithuania
0 : 2 Georgia
26 Mar
Moldova
0 : 2 Lithuania
17 Nov
Netherlands
4 : 0 Lithuania
Page 1 of 6
06 Jun
Lithuania
2 : 1 Latvia
29 Mar
Lithuania
0 : 2 Georgia
13 Nov
Lithuania
0 : 0 Israel
12 Oct
Lithuania
0 : 2 Poland
07 Sept
Lithuania
2 : 3 Netherlands
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Cyprus
(Away) 07 Jun
Liechtenstein
0 : 2 Cyprus
04 Jun
Slovenia
1 : 1 Cyprus
30 Mar
Cyprus
3 : 2 Moldova
26 Mar
Cyprus
0 : 1 Belarus
18 Nov
Cyprus
2 : 4 Estonia
Page 1 of 6
07 Jun
Liechtenstein
0 : 2 Cyprus
04 Jun
Slovenia
1 : 1 Cyprus
12 Oct
San Marino
0 : 4 Cyprus
06 Sept
Austria
1 : 0 Cyprus
10 Jun
Romania
2 : 0 Cyprus
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Estonia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:17 | 1 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romania | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 18 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Cyprus | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:15 | 6 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:3 | 11 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Belarus | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Macedonia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Armenia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 3 | Faroe Islands | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Latvia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
