Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas, Kaunas

Lithuania

2 - 3

Netherlands

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Depay M.

Assist: Gakpo C.

28'

Lasickas J.

33'

Timber Q.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Netherlands in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Netherlands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Lithuania

15%

Draws

53%

Netherlands

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Netherlands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence

Netherlands have won more games recently than Lithuania.
Netherlands are the model's pick here, at 80%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%

Lithuania Clean Sheet 10%

Netherlands Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lithuania	Netherlands
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	6	15
Draws	5	9
Losses	17	6
Goals Scored	0.82	2.37
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.81	2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2025 World Championship

Netherlands vs Lithuania

4:0

Sep 7, 2025 World Championship

Lithuania vs Netherlands

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lithuania Compare

Top Goalscorer Gineitis G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Girdvainis E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.62

Avg xA / game 0.41

Netherlands Compare

Top Goalscorer Depay M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Timber Q.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.87

Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lithuania 10 / 100

Netherlands 86 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lithuania Netherlands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Netherlands Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Defensive concern: Netherlands conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Lithuania scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Lithuania remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lithuania VS Netherlands

0.88 Goals Scored 2.38

1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania

(Home)

09 Jun

Estonia

1 : 0

Lithuania

06 Jun

Lithuania

2 : 1

Latvia

29 Mar

Lithuania

0 : 2

Georgia

26 Mar

Moldova

0 : 2

Lithuania

17 Nov

Netherlands

4 : 0

Lithuania

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Netherlands

(Away)

30 Jun

Netherlands

1 : 2

Morocco

25 Jun

Tunisia

1 : 3

Netherlands

20 Jun

Netherlands

5 : 1

Sweden

14 Jun

Netherlands

2 : 2

Japan

08 Jun

Netherlands

2 : 1

Uzbekistan

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