Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lithuania W vs Georgia W

Europe Europe

Euro Women LSC sporto kompleksas Druskininkai, Druskininkai
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Cheminava A.
46'
Sub
Khaburdzania I. In: Bukhrikidze N.
Out: Khaburdzania I.
46'
Sub
Supelyte E. In: Galkina M.
Out: Supelyte E.

AI Match Summary

The Euro Women game between Lithuania W and Georgia W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Georgia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Lithuania W
20%
Draws
22%
Georgia W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lithuania W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Georgia W's 1.3 goals per match outpaces what Lithuania W have produced (1.17).
  • Model gives Lithuania W a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Lithuania W Clean Sheet 20%
Georgia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lithuania W Georgia W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2024 Euro Women
Lithuania W vs Georgia W
0:1
Apr 5, 2024 Euro Women
Georgia W vs Lithuania W
2:2
Oct 31, 2023 UEFA Nations League Women
Georgia W vs Lithuania W
0:3
Oct 27, 2023 UEFA Nations League Women
Lithuania W vs Georgia W
0:0
Apr 4, 2013 World Cup Women
Georgia W vs Lithuania W
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lithuania W 85 / 100
Georgia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lithuania W Georgia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lithuania W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Georgia W has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Lithuania W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Georgia W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lithuania W VS Georgia W
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania W

(Home)
09 Jun
Lithuania W
2 : 0
Liechtenstein W
05 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
0 : 0
Lithuania W
18 Apr
Estonia W
2 : 1
Lithuania W
14 Apr
Lithuania W
2 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
07 Mar
Lithuania W
0 : 0
Estonia W
Page 1 of 6

Georgia W

(Away)
09 Jun
Georgia W
2 : 3
Greece W
05 Jun
Georgia W
2 : 3
Faroe Islands W
18 Apr
Faroe Islands W
1 : 0
Georgia W
03 Mar
Greece W
3 : 0
Georgia W
27 Oct
Georgia W
3 : 0
Moldova W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belarus W 6 6 0 0 19:0 18
2 Georgia W 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
3 Lithuania W 6 2 1 3 5:10 7
4 Cyprus W 6 0 0 6 1:14 0
Promotion - Euro Women (Promotion)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovenia W 6 6 0 0 26:0 18
2 Latvia W 6 3 0 3 8:16 9
3 North Macedonia W 6 2 1 3 10:17 7
4 Moldova W 6 0 1 5 4:15 1
Promotion - Euro Women (Promotion)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Greece W 6 5 1 0 17:4 16
2 Montenegro W 6 3 1 2 21:10 10
3 Faroe Islands W 6 3 0 3 11:9 9
4 Andorra W 6 0 0 6 2:28 0
Promotion - Euro Women (Promotion)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania W 6 6 0 0 16:1 18
2 Bulgaria W 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
3 Armenia W 6 2 0 4 8:18 6
4 Kazakhstan W 6 1 1 4 5:8 4
Promotion - Euro Women (Promotion)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albania W 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
2 Luxembourg W 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
3 Estonia W 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - Euro Women (Promotion)
Ranking of third-placed teams