Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Litija vs Ilirija

Slovenia Slovenia

Slovenian Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Zulic D.

AI Match Summary

Ilirija in this Slovenian Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Litija
30%
Draws
19%
Ilirija
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Litija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ilirija have won more games recently than Litija.
  • Litija are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Ilirija arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ilirija, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Litija Clean Sheet 20%
Ilirija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Litija Ilirija
Matches Played 9 30
Wins 3 10
Draws 2 6
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.22 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2024 Slovenian Cup
Litija vs Ilirija
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Litija Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Ilirija Compare

Top Goalscorer Zulic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Litija 85 / 100
Ilirija 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Litija Ilirija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Litija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Litija has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ilirija has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Ilirija's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Litija scored in 56% of their last 9 outings.

Scoring Trends

Litija VS Ilirija
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Litija

(Home)
26 Sept
Litija
3 : 0
Adria Miren
19 Sept
IB 1975 Ljubljana
0 : 3
Litija
12 Sept
Sobec Lesce
1 : 1
Litija
05 Sept
Litija
0 : 0
Zidgrad Idrija
30 Aug
Ljubljana Svoboda
0 : 3
Litija
Page 1 of 2

Ilirija

(Away)
25 Sept
Jadran Dekani
1 : 0
Ilirija
19 Sept
Ilirija
2 : 0
Krsko Posavje
12 Sept
Jesenice
3 : 1
Ilirija
04 Sept
Ilirija
0 : 0
Primorje
28 Aug
Slovan Ljubljana
2 : 1
Ilirija
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Doklezovje 2
Ljutomer 1
Dobrovce 5
Maribor Tabor 2
NK Jevnica 0
Vrhnika 3
Apace 0
Bistrica 5
Stojnci 1
Zavrc 2
Bogojina 0
Mura 4
ND Gorica 0
Bilje 1
Jadran Dekani 1
Koper 8
NK Velesovo 2
SD Polet 0
Bakovci 0
NK Carda Martjanci 7
SD Videm 2
Podvinci 0
Granicar Lendava 0
Nafta 15
Adria Miren 1
Tolmin 3
Bravo 5
NK Krka 0
Race 2
Pesnica 0
Mozirje 0
NK Brezice 4
Storzic Preddvor 5
Ziri 0
Marjeta na Dravskem polju 0
Maribor 4
Krsko Posavje 1
Rudar 3
Hajdina 0
Aluminij 4
Tisina 1
Hodos 2
Dravinja 0
Celje 3
Izola 0
Tabor Sezana 3
Gorisnica 1
Drava 5
Dob 0
Radomlje 1
O. Ljubljana 3
Domzale 0
Srednja Bistrica 2
Turnisce 4
Litija 0
Ilirija 1
Pusca 0
Beltinci 2
Zelezniki 0
Triglav 5
Bela Krajina 2
Slovan Ljubljana 1
NK Polana 1
Odranci 0
1/16-finals
Doklezovje 2
Dobrovce 4
Vrhnika 1
Bistrica 3
Zavrc 0
Mura 9
Bilje 1
Koper 2
NK Velesovo 1
NK Carda Martjanci 3
SD Videm 0
Nafta 3
Tolmin 0
Bravo 2
Race 3
NK Brezice 2
Storzic Preddvor 1
Maribor 2
Rudar 1
Aluminij 2
Hodos 0
Celje 8
Tabor Sezana 1
Drava 0
Radomlje 1
O. Ljubljana 2
Turnisce 0
Ilirija 1
Beltinci 4
Triglav 0
Bela Krajina 1
NK Polana 0
1/8-finals
Dobrovce 0
Bistrica 3
Mura 0
Koper 1
NK Carda Martjanci 1
Nafta 2
Bravo 7
Race 0
Maribor 2
Aluminij 0
Celje 3
Tabor Sezana 2
O. Ljubljana 3
Ilirija 0
Beltinci 10
Bela Krajina 0
Quarter-finals
Bistrica 0
Koper 2
Nafta 2
Bravo 3
Maribor 0
Celje 1
O. Ljubljana 5
Beltinci 2
Semi-finals
Koper 3
Bravo 0
Celje 2
O. Ljubljana 1
Final
Koper 0
Celje 4