Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Liverpool M. vs CA Cerro

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Belvedere
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Laquidain S.
20'
Aleman B.
21' Event
Miranda A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Liverpool M. and CA Cerro finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CA Cerro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Liverpool M.
28%
Draws
22%
CA Cerro
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Liverpool M.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Liverpool M.'s 1.13 goals per match outpaces what CA Cerro have produced (0.5).
  • Model gives Liverpool M. a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Liverpool M. Clean Sheet 68%
CA Cerro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liverpool M. CA Cerro
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs CA Cerro
1:2
Feb 20, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
CA Cerro vs Liverpool M.
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
CA Cerro vs Liverpool M.
2:1
May 25, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs CA Cerro
0:0
Feb 22, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs CA Cerro
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liverpool M. Compare

Top Goalscorer Bentancourt R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

CA Cerro Compare

Top Goalscorer Miranda A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amaro J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liverpool M. 59 / 100
CA Cerro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liverpool M. CA Cerro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Liverpool M. scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: CA Cerro conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Liverpool M. went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Liverpool M. VS CA Cerro
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol64119:313
2Cerro Largo52216:28
3Central Esp.52214:38
4Racing Montevideo51403:27
5CA Cerro52034:86
6Liverpool M.51223:45
7Boston River61235:95
8Defensor Sp.50323:63
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wanderers633010:412
2Maldonado632112:611
3Club Nacional63126:710
4Montevideo City530210:99
5Juventud62138:117
6Progreso62045:96
7Albion61234:65
8Danubio50323:63