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Liverpool U18 vs Watford U18

England England

FA Youth Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Liverpool U18 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Liverpool U18
20%
Draws
42%
Watford U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Watford U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Watford U18 haven't matched Liverpool U18's recent run of results.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Liverpool U18 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Liverpool U18, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Liverpool U18 Clean Sheet 20%
Watford U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liverpool U18 Watford U18
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 2.59 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.53 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2019 FA Youth Cup
Liverpool U18 vs Watford U18
2:1
Feb 18, 2014 FA Youth Cup
Watford U18 vs Liverpool U18
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liverpool U18 31 / 100
Watford U18 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liverpool U18 Watford U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liverpool U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liverpool U18 scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Watford U18 has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Liverpool U18 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Liverpool U18 VS -
3.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Liverpool U18

(Home)
19 Sept
Derby U18
3 : 3
Liverpool U18
12 Sept
Liverpool U18
4 : 2
Burnley U18
29 Aug
Wolves U18
2 : 4
Liverpool U18
22 Aug
Liverpool U18
2 : 2
Middlesbrough U18
15 Aug
Manchester City U18
2 : 1
Liverpool U18
Page 1 of 7

Watford U18

(Away)
08 Jan
Watford U18
1 : 3
Charlton U18
10 Apr
Watford U18
0 : 1
Manchester City U18
25 Feb
Watford U18
2 : 1
Southampton U18
13 Feb
Watford U18
4 : 2
Tottenham U18
16 Jan
Watford U18
4 : 1
Crewe U18
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Oxford Utd U18 0
Bournemouth U18 3
Aston Villa U18 4
Reading U18 1
Derby U18 3
Sheffield Utd U18 0
Manchester City U18 4
Nottingham U18 1
Arsenal U18 5
Tottenham U18 2
West Brom U18 5
QPR U18 1
Stoke City U18 2
Everton U18 3
Manchester United U18 1
Brighton U18 3
Preston U18 3
Norwich U18 0
Peterborough U18 0
Bury U18 1
Liverpool U18 4
Accrington U18 0
Hull U18 2
Wigan U18 6
Crystal Palace U18 2
Bolton U18 4
Leicester U18 4
Crewe U18 0
Watford U18 2
Southampton U18 1
Gillingham U18 1
Ipswich U18 2
1/8-finals
Bournemouth U18 2
Aston Villa U18 0
Derby U18 1
Manchester City U18 2
Arsenal U18 1
West Brom U18 2
Everton U18 2
Brighton U18 0
Preston U18 0
Bury U18 2
Liverpool U18 2
Wigan U18 0
Bolton U18 0
Leicester U18 3
Watford U18 4
Ipswich U18 1
Quarter-finals
Bournemouth U18 1
Manchester City U18 4
West Brom U18 4
Everton U18 3
Bury U18 1
Liverpool U18 5
Leicester U18 1
Watford U18 2
Semi-finals
Manchester City U18 4
West Brom U18 2
Liverpool U18 2
Watford U18 1
Final
Manchester City U18 1
Liverpool U18 2