Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Perisic I.
(Penalty)
16'
16'
Szoboszlai D.
17'
17'
van Dijk V.
AI Match Summary
The Champions League 2025/2026 game between Liverpool and PSV finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PSV.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- PSV carry the better recent record into this one.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Liverpool Clean Sheet 10%
PSV Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Liverpool | PSV |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 18 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 3.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 3.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 26, 2025 Champions League
Liverpool vs PSV
1:4
Jan 29, 2025 Champions League
PSV vs Liverpool
3:2
Dec 9, 2008 Champions League
PSV vs Liverpool
1:3
Oct 1, 2008 Champions League
Liverpool vs PSV
3:1
Apr 11, 2007 Champions League
Liverpool vs PSV
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Liverpool Compare
Top Goalscorer Szoboszlai D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
PSV Compare
Top Goalscorer Driouech C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Til G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Liverpool 34 / 100
PSV 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Liverpool PSV
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PSV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Liverpool found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
PSV's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Liverpool stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Liverpool VS PSV
2 Goals Scored 3.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Liverpool
(Home) 02 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 4 Leeds
29 Jul
Liverpool
1 : 0 Wrexham
25 Jul
Liverpool
4 : 2 Sunderland
24 May
Liverpool
1 : 1 Brentford
15 May
Aston Villa
4 : 2 Liverpool
Page 1 of 6
02 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 4 Leeds
29 Jul
Liverpool
1 : 0 Wrexham
25 Jul
Liverpool
4 : 2 Sunderland
24 May
Liverpool
1 : 1 Brentford
09 May
Liverpool
1 : 1 Chelsea
Page 1 of 4
PSV
(Away) 02 Aug
PSV
0 : 4 AZ Alkmaar
28 Jul
PSV
3 : 0 Eindhoven FC
25 Jul
PSV
1 : 3 Villarreal
18 Jul
PSV
7 : 3 Royale Union SG
11 Jul
PSV
3 : 2 Rakow Czestochowa
Page 1 of 6
10 May
G.A. Eagles
1 : 4 PSV
02 May
Ajax
2 : 2 PSV
11 Apr
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 2 PSV
22 Mar
Telstar
3 : 1 PSV
03 Mar
Nijmegen
3 : 2 PSV
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22:8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22:14 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:7 | 15 |
| 11 | PSG | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:11 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:7 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 14 | Atl. Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 17 | Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19:17 | 11 |
| 18 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Monaco | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:21 | 10 |
| 23 | Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 25 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 26 | Pafos | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union SG | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 8 |
| 29 | Ath Bilbao | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 30 | Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Copenhagen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:21 | 8 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:21 | 4 |
| 34 | Slavia Prague | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:19 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | 1 |
| 36 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 1 |
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
