Sport Picks

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Liverpool W vs Durham W

World World

Club Friendly Women
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Olsson B.
19' Event
Olsson B.
20' Event
Olsson B.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly Women game between Liverpool W and Durham W finished 7-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liverpool W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Liverpool W
15%
Draws
32%
Durham W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Liverpool W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Durham W haven't matched Liverpool W's recent run of results.
  • Liverpool W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Liverpool W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Liverpool W Clean Sheet 20%
Durham W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liverpool W Durham W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 5
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 2.07 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.16 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Liverpool W vs Durham W
7:1
Oct 16, 2025 Women's League Cup
Durham W vs Liverpool W
1:2
Aug 17, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Liverpool W vs Durham W
0:1
Mar 27, 2022 WSL 2
Liverpool W vs Durham W
3:0
Nov 14, 2021 WSL 2
Durham W vs Liverpool W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liverpool W Compare

Top Goalscorer Olsson B.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Hobinger M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.66
Avg xA / game 1.08

Durham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lowe R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liverpool W 85 / 100
Durham W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liverpool W Durham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liverpool W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liverpool W's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Durham W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Liverpool W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Liverpool W VS Durham W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.29
1 Goals Conceded 2.43
63% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Liverpool W

(Home)
18 Sept
Manchester City W
4 : 2
Liverpool W
13 Sept
Liverpool W
1 : 1
Tottenham W
06 Sept
Charlton W
0 : 4
Liverpool W
30 Aug
Liverpool W
7 : 1
Durham W
23 Aug
Manchester United W
1 : 2
Liverpool W
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Durham W

(Away)
13 Sept
Leicester W
4 : 2
Durham W
06 Sept
Durham W
1 : 3
Southampton FC W
30 Aug
Liverpool W
7 : 1
Durham W
02 May
Newcastle Utd W
0 : 1
Durham W
26 Apr
Durham W
2 : 1
Sheffield Utd W
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