Sport Picks
Liverpool W vs Sunderland W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Women's League Cup St Helens Stadium, St Helens 
Match Events
24'
24'
Shaw Z.
44'
44'
Paxton C.
Assist: Kitching K.
45'
45'
Parker E.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-2. The second leg ended 4-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sunderland W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Liverpool W come out ahead of Sunderland W on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Liverpool W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Liverpool W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Liverpool W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Liverpool W Clean Sheet 13%
Sunderland W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Liverpool W | Sunderland W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.24 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.10 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 23, 2026 Women's League Cup
Liverpool W vs Sunderland W
4:2
Sep 24, 2025 Women's League Cup
Liverpool W vs Sunderland W
5:0
Oct 2, 2022 Women's League Cup
Sunderland W vs Liverpool W
0:1
Feb 13, 2022 WSL 2
Liverpool W vs Sunderland W
3:0
Dec 15, 2021 Women's League Cup
Sunderland W vs Liverpool W
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Liverpool W Compare
Top Goalscorer Hobinger M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Shaw Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05
Sunderland W Compare
Top Goalscorer Paxton C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Parker E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.5
Avg xA / game 0.92
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Liverpool W 31 / 100
Sunderland W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Liverpool W Sunderland W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Sunderland W conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Liverpool W scored in 79% of their last 34 outings.
Recent resilience: Liverpool W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Liverpool W VS Sunderland W
2.88 Goals Scored 2.17
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.33
88% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 83%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Liverpool W
(Home) 03 Oct
Manchester United W
1 : 0 Liverpool W
30 Sept
Birmingham W
3 : 4 Liverpool W
27 Sept
Liverpool W
2 : 0 Everton W
23 Sept
Liverpool W
4 : 2 Sunderland W
18 Sept
Manchester City W
4 : 2 Liverpool W
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Liverpool W
2 : 0 Everton W
23 Sept
Liverpool W
4 : 2 Sunderland W
13 Sept
Liverpool W
1 : 1 Tottenham W
30 Aug
Liverpool W
7 : 1 Durham W
15 Aug
Liverpool W
2 : 0 Leicester W
Page 1 of 4
Sunderland W
(Away) 04 Oct
Sunderland W
3 : 1 Leicester W
27 Sept
Watford W
1 : 2 Sunderland W
23 Sept
Liverpool W
4 : 2 Sunderland W
20 Sept
Sunderland W
0 : 0 Southampton FC W
13 Sept
Burnley W
1 : 2 Sunderland W
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Watford W
1 : 2 Sunderland W
23 Sept
Liverpool W
4 : 2 Sunderland W
13 Sept
Burnley W
1 : 2 Sunderland W
02 May
Ipswich W
2 : 1 Sunderland W
01 Apr
Birmingham W
1 : 0 Sunderland W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester United W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Aston Villa W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 4 | Liverpool W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:5 | 6 |
| 5 | London City Lionesses W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 6 | West Ham W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 5 |
| 7 | Tottenham W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 8 | Brighton W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 9 | Everton W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 10 | Bristol City W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Burnley W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Wolverhampton W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Watford W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 14 | Ipswich W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 15 | Sunderland W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 16 | Newcastle Utd W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 17 | Southampton FC W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 18 | Nottingham W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 19 | Leicester W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 20 | Birmingham W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 0 |
| 21 | Durham W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 22 | Charlton W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:7 | 0 |
| 23 | Sheffield Utd W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:10 | 0 |
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