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Livingston vs Hearts

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Palmer C.
29'
Sub
Nicholson S. In: Sinclair T.
Out: Nicholson S.
36' Event
Sinclair T.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Livingston and Hearts finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Livingston.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Livingston
20%
Draws
47%
Hearts
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hearts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Livingston haven't matched Hearts's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Livingston Clean Sheet 10%
Hearts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livingston Hearts
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.59 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Livingston vs Hearts
2:1
Apr 5, 2026 Premiership
Livingston vs Hearts
2:2
Jan 3, 2026 Premiership
Hearts vs Livingston
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Premiership
Livingston vs Hearts
1:2
Apr 13, 2024 Premiership
Hearts vs Livingston
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Livingston Compare

Top Goalscorer Palmer C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sinclair T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Renaud T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livingston 30 / 100
Hearts 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livingston Hearts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Livingston scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Hearts has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Livingston stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Livingston VS Hearts
1.38 Goals Scored 2.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Livingston

(Home)
03 Oct
Livingston
1 : 2
Ayr
25 Sept
Raith
0 : 2
Livingston
19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2
Inverness
11 Sept
Morton
1 : 4
Livingston
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
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Hearts

(Away)
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
06 Sept
Hearts
2 : 1
Dundee FC
03 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 3
Hearts
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