Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Livingston vs Hibernian

Scotland Scotland

League Cup 2025/2026 The Home of the Set Fare Arena, Livingston
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
McGowan R.
18'
Klidje T.
25'
Sylla M.

AI Match Summary

Hibernian in this League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Livingston
20%
Draws
29%
Hibernian
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Livingston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Hibernian have won more games recently than Livingston.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Livingston taking it.
  • Hibernian arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hibernian, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Livingston Clean Sheet 68%
Hibernian Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livingston Hibernian
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Premiership
Hibernian vs Livingston
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 Premiership
Livingston vs Hibernian
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 Premiership
Hibernian vs Livingston
4:0
Aug 17, 2025 League Cup
Livingston vs Hibernian
0:2
May 19, 2024 Premiership
Livingston vs Hibernian
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Livingston Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Hibernian Compare

Top Goalscorer Klidje T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mulligan J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livingston 59 / 100
Hibernian 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livingston Hibernian

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Livingston Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Livingston found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Hibernian's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Livingston remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Livingston VS Hibernian
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Livingston

(Home)
25 Sept
Raith
0 : 2
Livingston
19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2
Inverness
11 Sept
Morton
1 : 4
Livingston
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
29 Aug
Arbroath
1 : 0
Livingston
Page 1 of 6

Hibernian

(Away)
19 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 1
Aberdeen
15 Sept
Hibernian
0 : 1
Kilmarnock
12 Sept
Ross County
0 : 3
Hibernian
06 Sept
St Johnstone
2 : 1
Hibernian
03 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 3
Hearts
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Morton 0
Aberdeen 3
St Johnstone 0
Motherwell 1
Kilmarnock 2
Dundee Utd 1
St. Mirren 2
Hearts 1
Partick 2
Ayr 0
Celtic 4
Falkirk 1
Rangers 4
Alloa 2
Livingston 0
Hibernian 2
Quarter-finals
Aberdeen 0
Motherwell 1
Kilmarnock 2
St. Mirren 3
Partick 0
Celtic 4
Rangers 2
Hibernian 0
Semi-finals
Motherwell 1
St. Mirren 4
Celtic 3
Rangers 1
Final
St. Mirren 3
Celtic 1