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Livingston vs Morton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Championship The Home of the Set Fare Arena, Livingston
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Livingston host Morton in the Championship. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Livingston at 1.5 goals for, 1.14 against; Morton at 0.74 for, 1.74 against. Past meetings favor Livingston slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 11, 2026, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.00, favoring Livingston. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Livingston
20%
Draws
44%
Morton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Morton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Livingston have won more games recently than Morton.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Livingston taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Livingston have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Livingston Clean Sheet 20%
Morton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livingston Morton
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.5 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Championship
Morton vs Livingston
1:4
Apr 12, 2025 Championship
Morton vs Livingston
1:2
Feb 25, 2025 Championship
Livingston vs Morton
3:2
Dec 7, 2024 Championship
Morton vs Livingston
0:0
Nov 12, 2024 Challenge Cup
Livingston vs Morton
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livingston 42 / 100
Morton 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livingston Morton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Livingston found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Livingston went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Livingston VS Morton
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Livingston

(Home)
17 Oct
Dunfermline
0 : 0
Livingston
10 Oct
Livingston
1 : 2
Partick
03 Oct
Livingston
1 : 2
Ayr
25 Sept
Raith
0 : 2
Livingston
19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2
Inverness
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Morton

(Away)
17 Oct
Morton
2 : 0
Queen's Park
10 Oct
Arbroath
1 : 2
Morton
03 Oct
Morton
1 : 2
Raith
25 Sept
Inverness
2 : 0
Morton
19 Sept
Morton
0 : 1
Dunfermline
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 10 7 2 1 13:5 23
2 Partick 11 6 4 1 12:4 22
3 Raith 11 6 3 2 16:7 21
4 Inverness 11 4 4 3 14:11 16
5 Dunfermline 10 3 6 1 8:6 15
6 Livingston 11 4 2 5 14:11 14
7 Ayr 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
8 Arbroath 11 3 2 6 7:17 11
9 Morton 11 2 1 8 9:18 7
10 Queen's Park 11 2 1 8 6:18 7
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)