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Livingston vs Peterhead - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup The Home of the Set Fare Arena, Livingston
Tue, Nov 24, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Challenge Cup. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Peterhead have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Livingston have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.62. Past meetings favor Livingston slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 29, 2017, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 0.81, favoring Livingston. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Livingston
15%
Draws
46%
Peterhead
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Peterhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Peterhead lately — more wins on the board than Livingston.
  • Livingston are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Peterhead arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Peterhead, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Livingston here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Livingston Clean Sheet 20%
Peterhead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livingston Peterhead
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 5 1
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.62 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2017 League One
Livingston vs Peterhead
4:1
Jan 7, 2017 League One
Peterhead vs Livingston
2:3
Nov 19, 2016 League One
Livingston vs Peterhead
1:2
Oct 1, 2016 League One
Peterhead vs Livingston
1:2
Nov 28, 2015 Scottish Cup
Peterhead vs Livingston
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livingston 49 / 100
Peterhead 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livingston Peterhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Livingston Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Livingston scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Peterhead has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Livingston has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Livingston VS Peterhead
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Livingston

(Home)
03 Nov
Spartans
0 : 2
Livingston
30 Oct
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Livingston
24 Oct
Livingston
1 : 0
Arbroath
17 Oct
Dunfermline
0 : 0
Livingston
10 Oct
Livingston
1 : 2
Partick
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Peterhead

(Away)
03 Nov
St. Mirren B
1 : 2
Peterhead
31 Oct
Peterhead
2 : 1
Alloa
24 Oct
Montrose
3 : 0
Peterhead
17 Oct
Peterhead
2 : 0
Cove Rangers
13 Oct
Peterhead
1 : 0
Rangers B
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Spartans 0
Livingston 2
St. Mirren B 1
Peterhead 2
Hamilton 2
Raith 1
Formartine Utd 0
Cove Rangers 2
East Kilbride 7
Stirling 3
Edinburgh City 0
Partick 3
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Dunfermline 4
Morton 0
Kelty Hearts 1
Ross County 2
Celtic B 0
Stenhousemuir 4
Berwick 1
Arbroath 1
Queen of the South 0
Airdrieonians 5
Elgin City 0
Annan 0
Ayr 2
Inverness 1
Montrose 0
Clydebank FC 1
Alloa 0
Aberdeen B 1
Queen's Park 2
1/8-finals
Livingston -
Peterhead -
Hamilton -
Cove Rangers -
East Kilbride -
Partick -
Dunfermline -
Kelty Hearts -
Ross County -
Stenhousemuir -
Arbroath -
Airdrieonians -
Ayr -
Inverness -
Clydebank FC -
Queen's Park -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -