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Livingston W vs Gartcairn W

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup Women 2024 The Home of the Set Fare Arena
Sun, Feb 4, 2024
3 - 2
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Livingston W play Gartcairn W in the Scottish Cup Women 2024. Livingston W are favorites here. Recently, Livingston W averaged 2.29 goals scored and 4 conceded. Gartcairn W averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.9 conceded. In past meetings, Livingston W won 1, Gartcairn W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 4, 2024 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.77 for Livingston W and 3.00 for Gartcairn W. This points to a Livingston W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Livingston W
15%
Draws
28%
Gartcairn W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Livingston W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Livingston W picked up more points recently compared to Gartcairn W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.77 vs 3.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Livingston W Clean Sheet 10%
Gartcairn W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livingston W Gartcairn W
Matches Played 7 10
Wins 3 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 2.29 1.8
Goals Conceded 4 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Scottish Cup Women
Livingston W vs Gartcairn W
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livingston W 53 / 100
Gartcairn W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livingston W Gartcairn W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Livingston W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Livingston W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.30
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Livingston W attacking → ← attacking Gartcairn W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Livingston W scored in 57% of their last 7 games.

Gartcairn W let in goals in 80% of their last 10 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Livingston W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gartcairn W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 9
2.29 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
4.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.25