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Livorno vs Ostiamare - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Armando Picchi, Livorno
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Sub
Arrigoni T. In: Bacciardi A.
Out: Arrigoni T.
38'
Spinosa M.
42'
Bacciardi A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B game between Livorno and Ostiamare finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Livorno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Livorno
35%
Draws
19%
Ostiamare
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Livorno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ostiamare come out ahead of Livorno on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Livorno taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Livorno have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Livorno Clean Sheet 17%
Ostiamare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livorno Ostiamare
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.32 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Livorno vs Ostiamare
1:0
Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Ostiamare vs Livorno
0:2
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Livorno vs Ostiamare
2:0
Mar 19, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Ostiamare vs Livorno
1:1
Nov 13, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Livorno vs Ostiamare
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Livorno Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabbiani G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ostiamare Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livorno 48 / 100
Ostiamare 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livorno Ostiamare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Livorno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Livorno found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Ostiamare's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Livorno stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Livorno VS Ostiamare
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Livorno

(Home)
01 Nov
Livorno
1 : 0
Ostiamare
28 Oct
Spezia
2 : 1
Livorno
24 Oct
Sambenedettese
2 : 1
Livorno
16 Oct
Livorno
4 : 4
Grosseto
11 Oct
Forli FC
1 : 1
Livorno
Page 1 of 6

Ostiamare

(Away)
01 Nov
Livorno
1 : 0
Ostiamare
23 Oct
Ostiamare
1 : 2
Vado
18 Oct
Pescara
2 : 0
Ostiamare
10 Oct
Ostiamare
0 : 0
Pianese
04 Oct
Latina
1 : 1
Ostiamare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 12 10 2 0 21:6 32
2 Ravenna 12 8 2 2 22:7 26
3 Grosseto 12 6 5 1 25:15 23
4 Reggiana 12 6 2 4 16:11 20
5 Pescara 12 5 4 3 15:13 19
6 Livorno 12 5 4 3 17:16 19
7 Sassari Torres 12 5 4 3 13:12 19
8 Campobasso 12 5 3 4 18:20 18
9 Guidonia 1937 12 4 5 3 15:13 17
10 Perugia 12 5 2 5 16:18 17
11 Vado 12 4 4 4 14:13 16
12 Latina 12 3 6 3 12:12 15
13 Atalanta U23 12 5 0 7 14:18 15
14 Pineto 12 3 5 4 10:13 14
15 Forli FC 12 2 6 4 16:18 12
16 Sambenedettese 12 2 4 6 16:20 10
17 Pianese 12 1 7 4 7:11 10
18 Ostiamare 12 2 3 7 10:15 9
19 Gubbio 12 2 2 8 10:21 8
20 Vis Pesaro 12 1 2 9 11:26 5
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)