Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Livyi Bereg vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 Arena Livyi Bereg, Kyiv
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Banada E.
31'
Banada E.
35'
Shershen V.

AI Match Summary

Livyi Bereg in this Persha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Livyi Bereg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Livyi Bereg
30%
Draws
39%
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Livyi Bereg have won more games recently than FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi.
  • Livyi Bereg are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Livyi Bereg Clean Sheet 68%
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livyi Bereg FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 17 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 1.7 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Persha Liga
Livyi Bereg vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1:0
Oct 8, 2025 Persha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Livyi Bereg
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Livyi Bereg Compare

Top Goalscorer Banada E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livyi Bereg 59 / 100
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livyi Bereg FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Livyi Bereg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Livyi Bereg scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Livyi Bereg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Livyi Bereg VS FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Livyi Bereg

(Home)
19 Sept
Epitsentr
0 : 2
Livyi Bereg
13 Sept
Polissya Zhytomyr
1 : 0
Livyi Bereg
09 Sept
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 2
Livyi Bereg
04 Sept
Ch. Odesa
0 : 0
Livyi Bereg
29 Aug
Livyi Bereg
1 : 1
Karpaty Lviv
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FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

(Away)
25 Sept
Nyva Ternopil 2
1 : 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
20 Sept
Rukh Lviv
2 : 3
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
12 Sept
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
2 : 1
Skala 1911
05 Sept
Dnister Zalishchyky
3 : 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
29 Aug
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 1
Dinaz Vyshgorod
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bukovyna 30 26 3 1 74:21 81
2 Ch. Odesa 30 19 8 3 44:20 65
3 Livyi Bereg 30 19 6 5 50:21 63
4 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 30 16 5 9 36:28 53
5 Inhulets 30 12 10 8 41:32 46
6 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 30 9 10 11 33:33 37
7 Metalist Kharkiv 30 10 7 13 31:35 37
8 Probiy Horodenka 30 10 6 14 29:37 36
9 Fenix Mariupol 30 9 9 12 31:32 36
10 Victoria 30 10 6 14 37:38 36
11 UCSA 30 10 6 14 30:40 36
12 Nyva Ternopil 30 8 10 12 24:34 34
13 FC Chernihiv 30 8 7 15 30:36 31
14 Vorskla Poltava 30 7 9 14 23:36 30
15 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 30 4 9 17 20:45 21
16 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 30 4 7 19 16:61 19
17 Minaj 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)