Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Livyi Bereg vs Oleksandriya

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League 2025/2026 Arena Livyi Bereg, Kyiv
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Banada E.
Assist: Silva S.
46'
Sub
Jhonnatan In: Castillo B.
Out: Jhonnatan
63'
Sub
Voloshyn N. In: Wendell
Out: Voloshyn N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Livyi Bereg advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Livyi Bereg
30%
Draws
39%
Oleksandriya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oleksandriya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Livyi Bereg come out ahead of Oleksandriya on wins alone.
  • Model gives Livyi Bereg a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Livyi Bereg have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Oleksandriya, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Livyi Bereg Clean Sheet 20%
Oleksandriya Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livyi Bereg Oleksandriya
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Premier League
Livyi Bereg vs Oleksandriya
1:0
Jun 5, 2026 Premier League
Oleksandriya vs Livyi Bereg
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Premier League
Livyi Bereg vs Oleksandriya
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 Premier League
Oleksandriya vs Livyi Bereg
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Livyi Bereg Compare

Top Goalscorer Banada E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Oleksandriya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livyi Bereg 36 / 100
Oleksandriya 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livyi Bereg Oleksandriya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Livyi Bereg scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Oleksandriya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Livyi Bereg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Livyi Bereg VS Oleksandriya
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Livyi Bereg

(Home)
19 Sept
Epitsentr
0 : 2
Livyi Bereg
13 Sept
Polissya Zhytomyr
1 : 0
Livyi Bereg
09 Sept
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 2
Livyi Bereg
04 Sept
Ch. Odesa
0 : 0
Livyi Bereg
29 Aug
Livyi Bereg
1 : 1
Karpaty Lviv
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Oleksandriya

(Away)
04 Oct
Kolos Kovalivka 2
0 : 2
Oleksandriya
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1
Fenix Mariupol
20 Sept
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0
Oleksandriya
14 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 0
Victoria
09 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 2
Oleksandriya
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Kudrivka 3
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2
Oleksandriya 1
Livyi Bereg 2