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Livyi Bereg vs Zorya Prediction & H2H Stats

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League Arena Livyi Bereg, Kyiv
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Livyi Bereg host Zorya in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Livyi Bereg at 1.57 goals for, 0.68 against; Zorya at 1.57 for, 1.47 against. Past meetings favor Zorya slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2025, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.31, favoring Livyi Bereg. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Livyi Bereg
35%
Draws
25%
Zorya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Livyi Bereg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Livyi Bereg come out ahead of Zorya on wins alone.
  • Livyi Bereg are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Livyi Bereg Clean Sheet 18%
Zorya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Livyi Bereg Zorya
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 1.57 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2025 Premier League
Zorya vs Livyi Bereg
2:1
Oct 27, 2024 Premier League
Livyi Bereg vs Zorya
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livyi Bereg 40 / 100
Zorya 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Livyi Bereg Zorya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Livyi Bereg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Livyi Bereg found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Zorya conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Livyi Bereg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Livyi Bereg VS Zorya
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Livyi Bereg

(Home)
19 Sept
Epitsentr
0 : 2
Livyi Bereg
13 Sept
Polissya Zhytomyr
1 : 0
Livyi Bereg
09 Sept
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 2
Livyi Bereg
04 Sept
Ch. Odesa
0 : 0
Livyi Bereg
29 Aug
Livyi Bereg
1 : 1
Karpaty Lviv
Page 1 of 6

Zorya

(Away)
19 Sept
Zorya
0 : 2
Dynamo Kyiv
13 Sept
Bukovyna
1 : 1
Zorya
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2
Zorya
06 Sept
Veres Rivne
1 : 1
Zorya
31 Aug
Zorya
0 : 3
FC Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polissya Zhytomyr 7 6 0 1 15:5 18
2 Shakhtar 7 6 0 1 15:4 18
3 Karpaty Lviv 7 4 2 1 15:5 14
4 Dynamo Kyiv 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
5 FC Kharkiv 6 4 0 2 12:4 12
6 Epitsentr 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
7 LNZ Cherkasy 7 2 2 3 5:8 8
8 Zorya 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
9 Livyi Bereg 6 1 4 1 4:3 7
10 Bukovyna 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
11 Veres Rivne 6 1 3 2 4:5 6
12 Ch. Odesa 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
13 Kolos Kovalivka 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
14 Kryvbas 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
15 Obolon 7 0 4 3 2:12 4
16 Kudrivka 6 0 2 4 4:16 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)