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Ljubanci vs Novaci - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

Division 1 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ljubanci in this Division 1 2015/2016 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ljubanci
20%
Draws
57%
Novaci
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Novaci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Novaci have won more games recently than Ljubanci.
  • Win probability leans Novaci's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Novaci arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ljubanci, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ljubanci Clean Sheet 20%
Novaci Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ljubanci Novaci
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2016 2. MFL
Novaci vs Ljubanci
2:1
May 25, 2016 2. MFL
Ljubanci vs Novaci
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ljubanci 28 / 100
Novaci 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ljubanci Novaci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novaci Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Ljubanci scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Novaci's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Ljubanci went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Novaci
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ljubanci

(Home)
29 May
Novaci
2 : 1
Ljubanci
25 May
Ljubanci
3 : 1
Novaci
14 May
KF Gostivar
3 : 2
Ljubanci
07 May
Ljubanci
0 : 0
Pelister
30 Apr
Pobeda
1 : 0
Ljubanci
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Novaci

(Away)
19 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1
Novaci
13 Sept
Novaci
3 : 1
Detonit Plackovica
09 Sept
Novaci
1 : 0
Ohrid
05 Sept
Kamjani
1 : 0
Novaci
29 Aug
Osogovo
0 : 0
Novaci
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Ljubanci 4
Novaci 3
Brera Strumica 5
Goblen 2
Vardar Negotino 5
Vardari Forino 0