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Ljubljana Svoboda vs Sencur - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West
Our Tip

Match Events

71'
Miseljic A.
71'
Miseljic A.
72' Event
Imeraj E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Sencur in this 3. SNL - West matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sencur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Ljubljana Svoboda
15%
Draws
65%
Sencur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sencur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sencur lately — more wins on the board than Ljubljana Svoboda.
  • Win probability leans Sencur's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ljubljana Svoboda Clean Sheet 10%
Sencur Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ljubljana Svoboda Sencur
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 16
Draws 5 8
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1.07 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 3. SNL - West
Ljubljana Svoboda vs Sencur
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 3. SNL - West
Ljubljana Svoboda vs Sencur
0:0
Sep 26, 2025 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Ljubljana Svoboda
1:0
Apr 16, 2025 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Ljubljana Svoboda
0:1
Aug 31, 2024 3. SNL - West
Ljubljana Svoboda vs Sencur
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ljubljana Svoboda 10 / 100
Sencur 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ljubljana Svoboda Sencur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sencur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ljubljana Svoboda scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Sencur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Ljubljana Svoboda has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ljubljana Svoboda VS Sencur
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ljubljana Svoboda

(Home)
10 Oct
Ljubljana Svoboda
1 : 0
Skofja Loka
03 Oct
Tolmin
2 : 0
Ljubljana Svoboda
26 Sept
Ljubljana Svoboda
0 : 1
Sencur
19 Sept
Dob
4 : 0
Ljubljana Svoboda
12 Sept
Ljubljana Svoboda
3 : 5
Fama Vipava
Page 1 of 6

Sencur

(Away)
10 Oct
Sobec Lesce
0 : 0
Sencur
03 Oct
Zidgrad Idrija
2 : 4
Sencur
26 Sept
Ljubljana Svoboda
0 : 1
Sencur
20 Sept
Sencur
3 : 0
Rudar Trbovlje
12 Sept
Izola
5 : 2
Sencur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izola 9 9 0 0 40:6 27
2 Dob 9 6 2 1 22:7 20
3 Zidgrad Idrija 9 6 1 2 15:11 19
4 Sencur 9 4 4 1 17:11 16
5 Litija 9 4 3 2 16:8 15
6 Tolmin 9 4 3 2 18:12 15
7 Rudar Trbovlje 9 4 1 4 13:19 13
8 Skofja Loka 9 3 3 3 15:18 12
9 Adria Miren 9 3 1 5 19:17 10
10 IB 1975 Ljubljana 9 2 1 6 9:18 7
11 Ziri 9 1 4 4 9:14 7
12 Fama Vipava 9 2 0 7 14:41 6
13 Ljubljana Svoboda 9 1 1 7 6:21 4
14 Sobec Lesce 9 0 4 5 6:16 4
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)