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Ljungskile vs Norrby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Skarsjövallen, Uddevalla
Ljungskile Logo

Ljungskile

2 - 1
FT
Norrby Logo

Norrby

Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Tilly H.
Assist: Bichis J.
46'
Sub
Hedstrom J. D. E. In: Omar S.
Out: Hedstrom J. D. E.
51' Event
Ornblom F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ljungskile in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ljungskile.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ljungskile
20%
Draws
16%
Norrby
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ljungskile

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ljungskile lately — more wins on the board than Norrby.
  • Model gives Ljungskile a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ljungskile Clean Sheet 20%
Norrby Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ljungskile Norrby
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 5
Draws 7 13
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.22 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Superettan
Ljungskile vs Norrby
2:1
May 23, 2026 Superettan
Norrby vs Ljungskile
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Ljungskile vs Norrby
2:1
Sep 8, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Norrby vs Ljungskile
4:2
Apr 5, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Ljungskile vs Norrby
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ljungskile Compare

Top Goalscorer Ornblom F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rasheed A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Norrby Compare

Top Goalscorer Tilly H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ljungskile 49 / 100
Norrby 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ljungskile Norrby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ljungskile Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norrby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ljungskile scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Norrby lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ljungskile VS Norrby
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ljungskile

(Home)
20 Sept
Sundsvall
3 : 2
Ljungskile
13 Sept
Ljungskile
0 : 2
Falkenberg
09 Sept
Ljungskile
2 : 1
Norrby
04 Sept
Norrkoping
2 : 2
Ljungskile
29 Aug
Ljungskile
0 : 1
Varnamo
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Norrby

(Away)
20 Sept
Helsingborg
0 : 0
Norrby
14 Sept
Norrby
1 : 2
Varberg
09 Sept
Ljungskile
2 : 1
Norrby
05 Sept
Norrby
1 : 3
Landskrona
31 Aug
Sundsvall
1 : 0
Norrby
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)