Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ljungskile vs Varnamo

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Skarsjövallen, Uddevalla
Our Tip

Match Events

47'
Motaraghebjafarpour A.
63'
Sub
Uzel M. In: Reljanovic E.
Out: Uzel M.
63'
Sub
Lindholm Corner L. In: Lagerlof D.
Out: Lindholm Corner L.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Ljungskile and Varnamo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varnamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ljungskile
20%
Draws
57%
Varnamo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varnamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ljungskile come out ahead of Varnamo on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ljungskile have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ljungskile Clean Sheet 12%
Varnamo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ljungskile Varnamo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.31 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Superettan
Ljungskile vs Varnamo
0:1
Jul 19, 2026 Superettan
Varnamo vs Ljungskile
2:3
Sep 29, 2019 Division 1 - Södra
Ljungskile vs Varnamo
3:0
Jun 2, 2019 Division 1 - Södra
Varnamo vs Ljungskile
0:2
Oct 2, 2016 Superettan
Ljungskile vs Varnamo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ljungskile Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Varnamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Zulovic B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ljungskile 30 / 100
Varnamo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ljungskile Varnamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varnamo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varnamo let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Ljungskile's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Ljungskile has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ljungskile VS Varnamo
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ljungskile

(Home)
20 Sept
Sundsvall
3 : 2
Ljungskile
13 Sept
Ljungskile
0 : 2
Falkenberg
09 Sept
Ljungskile
2 : 1
Norrby
04 Sept
Norrkoping
2 : 2
Ljungskile
29 Aug
Ljungskile
0 : 1
Varnamo
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Varnamo

(Away)
19 Sept
Oddevold
1 : 2
Varnamo
15 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 3
Oster
09 Sept
Nordic United
2 : 4
Varnamo
05 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 1
Varberg
29 Aug
Ljungskile
0 : 1
Varnamo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)