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Ljutomer vs Dravograd

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2023/2024
Ljutomer Logo

Ljutomer

5 - 2
FT
Dravograd Logo

Dravograd

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ljutomer in this 3. SNL - East 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ljutomer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ljutomer
15%
Draws
0%
Dravograd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ljutomer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Dravograd haven't matched Ljutomer's recent run of results.
  • Ljutomer are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ljutomer have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ljutomer Clean Sheet 17%
Dravograd Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ljutomer Dravograd
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 9 1
Draws 8 1
Losses 15 27
Goals Scored 1.69 0.72
Goals Conceded 2.06 4.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Dravograd
5:2
Oct 14, 2023 3. SNL - East
Dravograd vs Ljutomer
1:2
Apr 15, 2023 3. SNL - East
Dravograd vs Ljutomer
2:6
Sep 24, 2022 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Dravograd
5:0
Apr 13, 2013 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Dravograd
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ljutomer 84 / 100
Dravograd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ljutomer Dravograd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ljutomer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dravograd conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Dravograd's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Ljutomer found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Ljutomer VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ljutomer

(Home)
12 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 1
NK Ormoz
05 Sept
Hajdina
3 : 1
Ljutomer
29 Aug
Ljutomer
3 : 0
Sampion Celje
22 Aug
Odranci
3 : 1
Ljutomer
15 Aug
Ljutomer
3 : 0
Dobrovce
Page 1 of 7

Dravograd

(Away)
25 May
Dravograd
1 : 2
NK Brezice
18 May
NK Smartno
6 : 0
Dravograd
11 May
Dravograd
1 : 6
Krsko Posavje
04 May
Hajdina
9 : 0
Dravograd
27 Apr
Ljutomer
5 : 2
Dravograd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Drava 26 20 3 3 81:24 63
2 Krsko Posavje 26 14 5 7 88:41 47
3 SD Videm 26 13 6 7 49:41 45
4 Korotan Prevalje 26 13 6 7 50:34 45
5 NK Brezice 26 14 2 10 67:51 44
6 Hajdina 26 12 2 12 53:43 38
7 Podvinci 26 11 5 10 47:42 38
8 Sampion Celje 26 11 4 11 47:54 37
9 Zavrc 26 10 6 10 46:44 36
10 Race 26 10 5 11 36:37 35
11 Ljutomer 26 9 5 12 45:61 32
12 NK Smartno 26 9 3 14 42:57 30
13 Dobrovce 26 6 5 15 27:55 23
14 Dravograd 26 1 1 24 16:110 4
Promotion - 2. SNL 2024/2025 (Main)