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Ljutomer vs Grad

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2017/2018
Ljutomer Logo

Ljutomer

1 - 0
FT
Grad Logo

Grad

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - East 2017/2018 game between Ljutomer and Grad finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ljutomer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ljutomer
20%
Draws
29%
Grad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ljutomer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Grad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Ljutomer taking it.
  • Regular 3. SNL - East 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ljutomer Clean Sheet 17%
Grad Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ljutomer Grad
Matches Played 44 34
Wins 15 21
Draws 12 7
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 2.16 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2019 3. SNL - East
Grad vs Ljutomer
3:1
Nov 11, 2018 3. SNL - East
Grad vs Ljutomer
3:3
Sep 5, 2018 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Grad
3:0
May 19, 2018 3. SNL - East
Grad vs Ljutomer
2:2
Nov 4, 2017 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Grad
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ljutomer 66 / 100
Grad 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ljutomer Grad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ljutomer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ljutomer scored in 84% of their last 44 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Grad has conceded goals in 62% of their last 34 outings.

Ljutomer has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ljutomer VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ljutomer

(Home)
12 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 1
NK Ormoz
05 Sept
Hajdina
3 : 1
Ljutomer
29 Aug
Ljutomer
3 : 0
Sampion Celje
22 Aug
Odranci
3 : 1
Ljutomer
15 Aug
Ljutomer
3 : 0
Dobrovce
Page 1 of 9

Grad

(Away)
18 Oct
NK Carda Martjanci
1 : 0
Grad
14 Aug
Grad
1 : 4
Krsko Posavje
05 Jun
Koper
4 : 0
Grad
01 Jun
Odranci
1 : 1
Grad
26 May
Grad
3 : 0
Radgona
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Beltinci 26 20 4 2 62:21 64
2 NK Polana 26 18 3 5 73:26 57
3 Odranci 26 18 3 5 62:29 57
4 Ljutomer 26 15 4 7 54:38 49
5 Hotiza 26 14 4 8 60:28 46
6 Grad 26 12 5 9 53:31 41
7 Tromejnik 26 10 6 10 44:41 36
8 Crensovci 26 10 5 11 47:54 35
9 Rakican 26 9 5 12 39:46 32
10 Turnisce 26 7 4 15 27:56 25
11 Radgona 26 6 4 16 20:57 22
12 NK Carda Martjanci 26 5 5 16 30:48 20
13 Bogojina 26 6 1 19 23:74 19
14 Slatina 26 4 3 19 25:70 15
Promotion - 3. SNL - Promotion Play Offs 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)