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Ljutomer vs Podvinci - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2025/2026
Ljutomer Logo

Ljutomer

1 - 1
FT
Podvinci Logo

Podvinci

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - East 2025/2026 game between Ljutomer and Podvinci finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Ljutomer
30%
Draws
54%
Podvinci
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Podvinci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Podvinci carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Ljutomer Clean Sheet 68%
Podvinci Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ljutomer Podvinci
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 5 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 3. SNL - East
Podvinci vs Ljutomer
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Podvinci
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 3. SNL - East
Podvinci vs Ljutomer
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 3. SNL - East
Podvinci vs Ljutomer
0:0
Aug 24, 2024 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Podvinci
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ljutomer 41 / 100
Podvinci 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ljutomer Podvinci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ljutomer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ljutomer's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Podvinci conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ljutomer stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ljutomer VS Podvinci
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ljutomer

(Home)
03 Oct
Race
2 : 0
Ljutomer
29 Sept
Podvinci
2 : 1
Ljutomer
26 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 2
NK Smartno
19 Sept
Korotan Prevalje
1 : 1
Ljutomer
12 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 1
NK Ormoz
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Podvinci

(Away)
04 Oct
NK Carda Martjanci
2 : 2
Podvinci
29 Sept
Podvinci
2 : 1
Ljutomer
26 Sept
Podvinci
0 : 1
Race
19 Sept
NK Smartno
8 : 1
Podvinci
12 Sept
Podvinci
2 : 0
Korotan Prevalje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Videm 24 16 4 4 58:32 52
2 NK Brezice 24 15 5 4 43:25 50
3 Korotan Prevalje 24 11 6 7 37:34 39
4 NK Carda Martjanci 24 11 4 9 49:39 37
5 Fuzinar 24 10 6 8 50:33 36
6 Hajdina 24 10 5 9 29:31 35
7 Zavrc 24 10 3 11 31:37 33
8 NK Smartno 24 9 6 9 38:36 33
9 Podvinci 24 8 6 10 26:28 30
10 Race 24 6 10 8 28:30 28
11 Rogaska 24 6 8 10 32:36 26
12 Ljutomer 24 3 9 12 35:53 18
13 Dobrovce 24 3 4 17 22:64 13
14 Drava 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)