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Ljutomer vs Starse

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2024/2025
Ljutomer Logo

Ljutomer

1 - 0
FT
Starse Logo

Starse

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - East 2024/2025 game between Ljutomer and Starse finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ljutomer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ljutomer
30%
Draws
23%
Starse
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ljutomer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ljutomer carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Ljutomer taking it.
  • Regular 3. SNL - East 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Ljutomer Clean Sheet 17%
Starse Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ljutomer Starse
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 7 6
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.52 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2025 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Starse
1:0
Oct 6, 2024 3. SNL - East
Starse vs Ljutomer
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ljutomer 84 / 100
Starse 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ljutomer Starse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ljutomer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Starse let in goals in 96% of their last 27 matches.

Ljutomer scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Starse has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ljutomer VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ljutomer

(Home)
29 Sept
Podvinci
2 : 1
Ljutomer
26 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 2
NK Smartno
19 Sept
Korotan Prevalje
1 : 1
Ljutomer
12 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 1
NK Ormoz
05 Sept
Hajdina
3 : 1
Ljutomer
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Starse

(Away)
24 May
Krsko Posavje
6 : 1
Starse
17 May
Starse
1 : 4
Fuzinar
10 May
Hajdina
5 : 2
Starse
04 May
Starse
1 : 1
Zavrc
26 Apr
Korotan Prevalje
3 : 0
Starse
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krsko Posavje 26 17 3 6 64:26 54
2 NK Brezice 26 15 5 6 54:32 50
3 SD Videm 26 15 4 7 48:30 49
4 NK Smartno 26 12 4 10 69:54 40
5 Hajdina 26 11 6 9 45:39 39
6 Ljutomer 26 11 5 10 34:43 38
7 Korotan Prevalje 26 10 6 10 39:42 36
8 NK Carda Martjanci 26 9 9 8 43:47 36
9 Zavrc 26 9 7 10 44:44 34
10 Podvinci 26 7 11 8 36:38 32
11 Fuzinar 26 9 3 14 40:45 30
12 Dobrovce 26 9 3 14 43:51 30
13 Starse 26 6 5 15 33:62 23
14 Sampion Celje 26 5 3 18 29:68 18
Promotion - 2. SNL 2025/2026 (Main)