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Stadium Background

LKS Lodz vs Polonia Bytom - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion ŁKS, Lodz
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Sokol D.
44' Event
Labojko M.
45' Event
Nowakowski K.
Assist: Craciun A.

AI Match Summary

LKS Lodz in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored LKS Lodz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
LKS Lodz
35%
Draws
35%
Polonia Bytom
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to LKS Lodz lately — more wins on the board than Polonia Bytom.
  • LKS Lodz are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and LKS Lodz have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
LKS Lodz Clean Sheet 20%
Polonia Bytom Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LKS Lodz Polonia Bytom
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Division 1
LKS Lodz vs Polonia Bytom
2:1
Feb 7, 2026 Division 1
Polonia Bytom vs LKS Lodz
2:3
Aug 1, 2025 Division 1
LKS Lodz vs Polonia Bytom
5:0
Jul 14, 2023 Club Friendly
LKS Lodz vs Polonia Bytom
3:1
Feb 5, 2014 Club Friendly
Polonia Bytom vs LKS Lodz
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LKS Lodz Compare

Top Goalscorer Nowakowski K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Piasecki F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Polonia Bytom Compare

Top Goalscorer Labojko M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LKS Lodz 42 / 100
Polonia Bytom 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LKS Lodz Polonia Bytom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia Bytom has conceded goals in 81% of their last 26 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: LKS Lodz scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: LKS Lodz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

LKS Lodz VS Polonia Bytom
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

LKS Lodz

(Home)
19 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 0
LKS Lodz
11 Sept
Puszcza
1 : 2
LKS Lodz
06 Sept
Arka Gdynia
1 : 1
LKS Lodz
03 Sept
Tychy
1 : 0
LKS Lodz
28 Aug
Odra Opole
0 : 0
LKS Lodz
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Polonia Bytom

(Away)
02 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
4 : 1
Polonia Bytom
18 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0
Ruch Chorzow
15 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
1 : 2
Polonia Bytom
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2
Polonia Bytom
06 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0
Podbeskidzie
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 9 5 3 1 15:8 18
2 Termalica Bruk-Bet 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
3 Warta Poznan 9 5 0 4 17:13 15
4 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
5 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
6 Polonia Warszawa 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Chrobry Glogow 9 3 3 3 11:8 12
10 Pogon Siedlce 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Arka Gdynia 9 3 2 4 11:11 11
13 Unia Skierniewice 9 3 1 5 10:15 10
14 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
15 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
16 Stal Mielec 9 2 3 4 14:23 9
17 Podbeskidzie 9 0 8 1 12:14 8
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)