Sport Picks

Stadium Background

LKS Lomza vs Lidzbark Warmimski

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 Stadion Miejski w Lomzy, Lomza
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Mich H.
23' Event
Szalkowski S.
36' Event
Usovich M.

AI Match Summary

Lidzbark Warmimski in this III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lidzbark Warmimski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
LKS Lomza
30%
Draws
58%
Lidzbark Warmimski
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lidzbark Warmimski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • LKS Lomza have won more games recently than Lidzbark Warmimski.
  • Win probability leans Lidzbark Warmimski's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
LKS Lomza Clean Sheet 12%
Lidzbark Warmimski Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LKS Lomza Lidzbark Warmimski
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 4 11
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.64 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2025 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs Lidzbark Warmimski
2:3
Nov 8, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Lidzbark Warmimski vs LKS Lomza
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LKS Lomza Compare

Top Goalscorer Mich H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Skowronek M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Lidzbark Warmimski Compare

Top Goalscorer Szalkowski S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Usovich M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LKS Lomza 14 / 100
Lidzbark Warmimski 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LKS Lomza Lidzbark Warmimski

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lidzbark Warmimski Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lidzbark Warmimski conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: LKS Lomza scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

LKS Lomza has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

LKS Lomza VS Lidzbark Warmimski
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

LKS Lomza

(Home)
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0
LKS Lomza
18 Sept
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Zabkovia Zabki
12 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1
LKS Lomza
05 Sept
LKS Lomza
1 : 2
Jagiellonia II
30 Aug
LKS Lodz II
4 : 3
LKS Lomza
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Lidzbark Warmimski

(Away)
26 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 1
KTS Weszlo
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0
Lidzbark Warmimski
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2
Warta Sieradz
06 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 3
Lidzbark Warmimski
29 Aug
Lidzbark Warmimski
2 : 2
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Unia Skierniewice 34 23 5 6 81:30 74
2 Legia II 34 21 7 6 75:39 70
3 LKS Lomza 34 18 10 6 68:38 64
4 Warta Sieradz 34 16 7 11 46:42 55
5 Suwalki 34 13 9 12 46:38 48
6 Jagiellonia II 34 13 8 13 54:49 47
7 Swit Mazowiecki 34 13 8 13 47:58 47
8 GKS Belchatow 34 12 10 12 52:52 46
9 Bron Radom 34 12 10 12 40:48 46
10 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 34 13 7 14 57:64 46
11 MKS Mlawa 34 12 8 14 67:62 44
12 Plock II 34 11 10 13 54:58 43
13 GKS Wikielec 34 10 12 12 39:45 42
14 Stomil Olsztyn 34 11 9 14 44:56 42
15 Victoria Sulejowek 34 11 8 15 52:59 41
16 Lidzbark Warmimski 34 9 14 11 46:60 41
17 Pelikan 34 9 6 19 34:58 33
18 Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz 34 2 6 26 26:72 12
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)