Sport Picks

Stadium Background

LKS Lomza vs MKS Mlawa

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski w Lomzy
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Kosakiewicz L.
55' Event
Stromecki M.
90' Event
Rovdo G.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between LKS Lomza and MKS Mlawa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward LKS Lomza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
LKS Lomza
17%
Draws
13%
MKS Mlawa
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: LKS Lomza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • MKS Mlawa haven't matched LKS Lomza's recent run of results.
  • Model gives LKS Lomza a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • LKS Lomza have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
LKS Lomza Clean Sheet 16%
MKS Mlawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LKS Lomza MKS Mlawa
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs MKS Mlawa
2:1
Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs LKS Lomza
0:1
May 10, 2025 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs MKS Mlawa
3:0
Oct 12, 2024 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs LKS Lomza
1:2
May 25, 2024 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs MKS Mlawa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LKS Lomza Compare

Top Goalscorer Kosakiewicz L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stromecki M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

MKS Mlawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Rovdo G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LKS Lomza 66 / 100
MKS Mlawa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LKS Lomza MKS Mlawa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: LKS Lomza scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

MKS Mlawa has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: LKS Lomza stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

LKS Lomza VS MKS Mlawa
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315