Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llacuabamba vs Union Huaral - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2024 Estadio Municipal de Huamachuco, Huamachuco
Wed, Jul 3, 2024
3 - 0
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Llacuabamba host Union Huaral in the Liga 2 2024. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Union Huaral have shipped 2.1 goals a game lately, while Llacuabamba have conceded 0.82 and scored 2.05. Past meetings favor Llacuabamba slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 3, 2024, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.42 xG vs 0.81) point toward Llacuabamba. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Llacuabamba
30%
Draws
0%
Union Huaral
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Llacuabamba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Llacuabamba come out ahead of Union Huaral on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Llacuabamba's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Llacuabamba have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Llacuabamba Clean Sheet 20%
Union Huaral Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llacuabamba Union Huaral
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 22 2
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 23
Goals Scored 2.05 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.82 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2024 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs Union Huaral
3:0
May 4, 2024 Liga 2
Union Huaral vs Llacuabamba
0:3
Aug 29, 2023 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs Union Huaral
1:0
Jun 7, 2023 Liga 2
Union Huaral vs Llacuabamba
2:2
Jul 3, 2022 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs Union Huaral
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llacuabamba 85 / 100
Union Huaral 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llacuabamba Union Huaral

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llacuabamba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Union Huaral conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Union Huaral registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Llacuabamba scored in 78% of their last 40 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Llacuabamba VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Llacuabamba

(Home)
07 Oct
Llacuabamba
4 : 0
Comerciantes FC
25 Sept
ADA Jaen
0 : 0
Llacuabamba
13 Sept
Llacuabamba
0 : 0
Pirata
05 Sept
AD Cantolao
3 : 2
Llacuabamba
30 Aug
Llacuabamba
1 : 1
Union Comercio
Page 1 of 8

Union Huaral

(Away)
06 Jul
Union Huaral
0 : 3
Juan Pablo II
03 Jul
Llacuabamba
3 : 0
Union Huaral
30 Jun
Union Huaral
0 : 3
Alianza Huanuco
15 Jun
Union Huaral
0 : 3
ADA Jaen
09 Jun
Carlos Stein
3 : 0
Union Huaral
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza Huanuco 12 9 2 1 30:7 29
2 San Marcos 12 7 2 3 25:14 23
3 Llacuabamba 12 6 3 3 30:10 21
4 Pirata 12 5 1 6 14:19 16
5 Juan Pablo II 12 4 3 5 13:15 15
6 ADA Jaen 12 4 3 5 16:24 15
7 Carlos Stein 12 0 0 12 10:49 0
8 Juan Aurich 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Union Huaral 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga 2 2024 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 9 6 1 26:13 33
2 Santos FC 16 7 4 5 15:12 25
3 Ayacucho 16 7 3 6 15:14 24
4 Dep. Municipal 16 4 8 4 16:15 20
5 AD Cantolao 16 6 2 8 16:20 20
6 Deportivo Coopsol 16 5 4 7 21:27 19
7 U. San Martin 16 3 9 4 19:22 18
8 Moquegua 16 2 5 9 12:22 11
9 Binacional 16 7 1 8 20:15 10
Promotion - Liga 2 2024 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024 (Relegation Group)