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Llacuabamba vs Union Huaral - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Ubierna B.
29'
Gonzales D.
40'
Vega J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2023 game between Llacuabamba and Union Huaral finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llacuabamba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Llacuabamba
30%
Draws
0%
Union Huaral
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Llacuabamba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Llacuabamba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Llacuabamba taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Llacuabamba here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Llacuabamba Clean Sheet 20%
Union Huaral Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llacuabamba Union Huaral
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 22 2
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 23
Goals Scored 2.05 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.82 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2024 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs Union Huaral
3:0
May 4, 2024 Liga 2
Union Huaral vs Llacuabamba
0:3
Aug 29, 2023 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs Union Huaral
1:0
Jun 7, 2023 Liga 2
Union Huaral vs Llacuabamba
2:2
Jul 3, 2022 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs Union Huaral
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llacuabamba Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Union Huaral Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llacuabamba 85 / 100
Union Huaral 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llacuabamba Union Huaral

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llacuabamba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Huaral let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Union Huaral's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Llacuabamba scored in 78% of their last 40 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Llacuabamba VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Llacuabamba

(Home)
07 Oct
Llacuabamba
4 : 0
Comerciantes FC
25 Sept
ADA Jaen
0 : 0
Llacuabamba
13 Sept
Llacuabamba
0 : 0
Pirata
05 Sept
AD Cantolao
3 : 2
Llacuabamba
30 Aug
Llacuabamba
1 : 1
Union Comercio
Page 1 of 8

Union Huaral

(Away)
06 Jul
Union Huaral
0 : 3
Juan Pablo II
03 Jul
Llacuabamba
3 : 0
Union Huaral
30 Jun
Union Huaral
0 : 3
Alianza Huanuco
15 Jun
Union Huaral
0 : 3
ADA Jaen
09 Jun
Carlos Stein
3 : 0
Union Huaral
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes Unidos 26 20 3 3 54:22 63
2 Los Chankas 26 16 5 5 72:25 53
3 Alianza Huanuco 26 15 6 5 43:25 51
4 Llacuabamba 26 13 7 6 44:31 46
5 Santos FC 26 12 6 8 32:24 42
6 Comerciantes FC 26 11 6 9 27:26 39
7 U. San Martin 26 10 6 10 34:30 36
8 Deportivo Coopsol 26 10 6 10 30:29 36
9 Juan Aurich 26 7 10 9 23:27 31
10 Union Huaral 26 5 9 12 22:34 24
11 Ayacucho 26 5 8 13 37:50 23
12 Pirata 26 5 6 15 22:59 21
13 Carlos Stein 26 1 5 20 26:76 8
14 Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 26 6 9 11 36:44 27
Promotion - Liga 1 2024 (Apertura)
Promotion - Liga 2 2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)