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Llanberis FC vs Bow Street

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Llanberis FC play Bow Street in the FA Cup 2008/2009. Bow Street are favorites here. Recently, Llanberis FC averaged 1.09 goals scored and 4.18 conceded. Bow Street averaged 2.13 goals scored and 2.67 conceded. In past meetings, Llanberis FC won 0, Bow Street won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 13, 2008 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Llanberis FC and 3.44 for Bow Street. This points to a Bow Street double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Llanberis FC
15%
Draws
71%
Bow Street
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bow Street

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Llanberis FC picked up more points recently compared to Bow Street.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 3.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 100%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 100%
Over 3.5 Goals 60%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%
Llanberis FC Clean Sheet 10%
Bow Street Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 90%
Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanberis FC Bow Street
Matches Played 11 15
Wins 1 7
Draws 0 0
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.09 2.13
Goals Conceded 4.18 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.50 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2008 FA Cup
Llanberis FC vs Bow Street
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanberis FC 15 / 100
Bow Street 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanberis FC Bow Street

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bow Street Win (2)
Secondary Pick Bow Street & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +133.4%
16.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +6%
1.06
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Llanberis FC attacking → ← attacking Bow Street

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llanberis FC scored in 55% of their last 11 games.

Bow Street let in goals in 93% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Llanberis FC went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Bow Street lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 21
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
4.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88